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Prediction markets for Lower Manhattan

Will AGI create a consensus among experts on how to safely increase AI capabilities?

Mar 12, 8:26 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.82%chance

11970

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1368

731

Who will win the 2026 House election in NY-10 (or equivalent)?

Oct 29, 6:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10938

OptionProbability

Brad Lander

Dan Goldman

Cameron Kasky

Other

Alexa Aviles

Yuh-Line Niou

74

19

5

1

0

0

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