Māhia Peninsula News

Spain's Power Outage Cause Bingo

Apr 29, 10:10 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

5511624

OptionProbability

Cascading failure (like something went wrong and the recovery procedure had an issue that made it worse)

Loss of synchronism

Strain on electrical/transmission infrastructure principally caused by renewable energy sources

Low or insufficient inertia

Battery storage

Renewables made the grid less stable

Never found root cause

Accidental infrastructure damage (fallen tower, wildlife, etc)

Bad weather

The cause didn't originate in Spain (was propagated by EU grid)

Intended infrastructure damage (cable cut, bomb, etc)

It's declared a cyber attack

Cyber attack & Russia-funded

Cyber attack & independent group

"Intern plugged wrong cable"

Cyber attack & USA-funded

Will the US have an Asian president by 2041?

Sep 11, 8:33 AMDec 19, 4:59 AM

48.03%chance

271744

OptionVotes

YES

1105

870

Where will the next Pokémon region be inspired by?

Apr 24, 6:27 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

91426

OptionProbability

Southern Europe (Iberian Peninsula, Italy, Balkans, Greece)

South America

Oceania

Western Europe (France to Poland)

South Asia

Middle East & Northern Africa

North America

East Asia

Mexico / Central America / Caribbean

Sub-Saharan Africa

South-East Asia

Eastern Europe / Central Asia (Former USSR)

Northern Europe (Nordics and British Isles)

Will there be a full-scale war between North Korea and South Korea by 2050?

Mar 31, 5:46 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

21.55%chance

231274

OptionVotes

YES

984

933

Will South Korea withdraw from the NPT by 2026?

Apr 22, 4:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.75%chance

151050

OptionVotes

YES

1062

940

Which positive news will make 2025 world-wide headlines?

Jan 4, 4:58 PMJan 11, 10:59 PM

11879

OptionProbability

Space Exploration

Technology

Medical/Healthcare

Fundamental research

Geopolitics

Environment and sustainability

Disaster Relief / Humanitarian Aid

Society

Art and culture

Human Rights

Economy

Will a crossing of the Bab-el-Mandeb, between Yemen and Djibouti or Eritrea, have started construction by 2040?

Jul 4, 8:28 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

21.22%chance

13326

OptionVotes

YES

1122

944

Will a crossing of the Strait of Hormuz, between Iran and Oman or UAE, have started construction by 2040?

Jul 4, 8:36 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

26.38%chance

9265

OptionVotes

YES

209

144

New SF Bay bridge any time through 2030

Sep 4, 9:02 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

23.59%chance

12248

OptionVotes

YES

1044

971

Will the Iberian Ibex, aka Iberian Wild Goat (Capra pyrenaica) become extinct in the current century?

Apr 12, 9:41 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

18.91%chance

4221

OptionVotes

YES

677

421

Māhia Peninsula News

Prediction markets for Māhia Peninsula

Prediction markets for Māhia Peninsula

Prediction markets for Māhia Peninsula

Spain's Power Outage Cause Bingo

Will the US have an Asian president by 2041?

Where will the next Pokémon region be inspired by?

Will there be a full-scale war between North Korea and South Korea by 2050?

Will South Korea withdraw from the NPT by 2026?

Which positive news will make 2025 world-wide headlines?

Will a crossing of the Bab-el-Mandeb, between Yemen and Djibouti or Eritrea, have started construction by 2040?

Will a crossing of the Strait of Hormuz, between Iran and Oman or UAE, have started construction by 2040?

New SF Bay bridge any time through 2030

Will the Iberian Ibex, aka Iberian Wild Goat (Capra pyrenaica) become extinct in the current century?

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