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Prediction markets for Mainland

Bridge built connecting mainland Italy to Sicily through 2030

Aug 27, 5:27 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

22.16%chance

285057

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1302

858

Will a bridge across the Strait of Messina between mainland Italy and Sicily have started construction by 2030?

Jul 5, 9:50 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

79.76%chance

294385

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2016

427

Will Sicily be connected with the mainland by a bridge before 2038?

Mar 18, 10:23 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

50%chance

202034

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1186

753

Will Iran successfully attack the mainland US before March 2027

Mar 7, 12:40 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

12.19%chance

202021

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2685

373

By 2063, will the Republic of China annex any territory in the mainland?

Mar 29, 2:30 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

19%chance

211509

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1523

819

Will the US conduct ground operations in mainland Iran before Jan 1, 2027?

Mar 5, 4:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.35%chance

261241

OptionVotes

YES

NO

127

79

Land Bridge built connecting PRC (mainland) and Taiwan (Main Island) through 2040

Sep 4, 9:11 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

7%chance

7449

OptionVotes

YES

NO

339

126

Bridge built connecting Cuba and USA mainland through 2040

Aug 27, 5:25 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

9.87%chance

7230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

251

115

Bridge built connecting Vancouver island to the mainland through 2040

Sep 27, 2:35 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

15.04%chance

7214

OptionVotes

YES

NO

320

120

Will Blizzard games still be legally available in Mainland China at the end of 2030?

Apr 10, 4:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

75%chance

12199

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1159

921

Will a crossing of the Qiongzhou Strait, between Mainland China and Hainan, have started construction by 2035?

Jul 4, 9:00 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

57%chance

659

OptionVotes

NO

YES

99

82

Conditional on a Sicily-mainland bridge NOT being built, will unemployment in Sicily decrease wrt to Italy?

Oct 26, 2:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.39%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

55

46

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