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Prediction markets for Mainland

Will Xi Jinping leave mainland China in 2026?

Jan 29, 4:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

86.4%chance

166247

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2520

397

Bridge built connecting mainland Italy to Sicily through 2030

Aug 27, 5:27 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

22.16%chance

285057

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1302

858

Will a bridge across the Strait of Messina between mainland Italy and Sicily have started construction by 2030?

Jul 5, 9:50 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

79.76%chance

294385

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2016

427

Will Sicily be connected with the mainland by a bridge before 2038?

Mar 18, 10:23 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

50%chance

202034

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1186

753

Will Iran successfully attack the mainland US before March 2027

Mar 7, 12:40 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

13.02%chance

201921

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2585

387

By 2063, will the Republic of China annex any territory in the mainland?

Mar 29, 2:30 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

19%chance

211509

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1523

819

Will Trump make a statement supporting mainland China over Taiwan during his term?

Feb 23, 1:05 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

41.46%chance

15434

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119

84

Bridge built connecting Cuba and USA mainland through 2040

Aug 27, 5:25 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

9.87%chance

7230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

251

115

Will Blizzard games still be legally available in Mainland China at the end of 2030?

Apr 10, 4:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

75%chance

12199

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1159

921

At least 2m Taiwanese citizens are physically relocated to the mainland by the PRC through 2033

Sep 4, 9:14 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

14.23%chance

4120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

250

89

Conditional on a Sicily-mainland bridge being built, will unemployment in Sicily decrease wrt to Italy?

Oct 26, 2:12 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

64%chance

431

OptionVotes

NO

YES

133

93

Will China invade Taiwan directly or will they apply a salami tactic and only take over small islands near the Mainland?

Aug 16, 11:39 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

61.28%chance

430

OptionVotes

NO

YES

127

97

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