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Prediction markets for Mainland

Will Xi Jinping leave mainland China in 2026?

Jan 29, 4:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

91.9%chance

156147

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3369

297

Bridge built connecting mainland Italy to Sicily through 2030

Aug 27, 5:27 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

22.16%chance

285057

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1302

858

Will a bridge across the Strait of Messina between mainland Italy and Sicily have started construction by 2030?

Jul 5, 9:50 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

74.65%chance

294135

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1766

500

Will Sicily be connected with the mainland by a bridge before 2038?

Mar 18, 10:23 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

50%chance

202034

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1186

753

Will Iran successfully attack the mainland US before March 2027

Mar 7, 12:40 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

12.87%chance

191907

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2601

384

By 2063, will the Republic of China annex any territory in the mainland?

Mar 29, 2:30 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

19%chance

211509

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1523

819

Will the US conduct ground operations in mainland Iran before Jan 1, 2027?

Mar 5, 4:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46%chance

161037

OptionVotes

YES

NO

108

92

Russia attacks or invades China mainland by mid 2028

Mar 1, 11:44 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

3.9%chance

10619

OptionVotes

YES

NO

899

187

Will Trump make a statement supporting mainland China over Taiwan during his term?

Feb 23, 1:05 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

41.46%chance

15434

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119

84

Will Blizzard games still be legally available in Mainland China at the end of 2030?

Apr 10, 4:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

75%chance

12199

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1159

921

Will Taylor Swift perform a concert in mainland China before 2028?

Feb 15, 1:24 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

20.98%chance

792

OptionVotes

YES

NO

242

109

Will China invade Taiwan directly or will they apply a salami tactic and only take over small islands near the Mainland?

Aug 16, 11:39 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

61.28%chance

430

OptionVotes

NO

YES

127

97

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