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Top stories

Japan July Tourist Arrivals Hit Record 3.4 Million on China Demand

Authors

13

9 months ago

Prediction markets for Mainland China

Will Xi Jinping leave mainland China in 2026?

Jan 29, 4:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

86.4%chance

166247

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2520

397

By 2063, will the Republic of China annex any territory in the mainland?

Mar 29, 2:30 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

19%chance

211509

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1523

819

Russia attacks or invades China mainland by mid 2028

Mar 1, 11:44 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

3.9%chance

10619

OptionVotes

YES

NO

899

187

Which country will be the first to have a transgender head of state or government?

Mar 18, 5:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18486

OptionProbability

Other

New Zealand

thailand

Canada

Switzerland

Sweden

Colombia

Iceland

France

Australia

South Korea

USA

India

Japan

The Netherlands

Finland

China (mainland)

21

10

8

7

6

6

6

5

5

4

4

3

3

3

3

3

2

Will Trump make a statement supporting mainland China over Taiwan during his term?

Feb 23, 1:05 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

41.46%chance

15434

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119

84

Will direct passenger ferry service between mainland Taiwan and mainland China resume by end of 2026?”

Apr 5, 8:44 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

13%chance

8205

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

98

Will mainland China have more than one time zone? By mid 2037

Jan 10, 8:07 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

21.41%chance

9202

OptionVotes

YES

NO

265

96

Will Blizzard games still be legally available in Mainland China at the end of 2030?

Apr 10, 4:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

75%chance

12199

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1159

921

Bridge built connecting Hainan to mainland China through 2040

Aug 28, 2:07 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

42.04%chance

7107

OptionVotes

NO

YES

151

146

Will Taylor Swift perform a concert in mainland China before 2028?

Feb 15, 1:24 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

20.98%chance

792

OptionVotes

YES

NO

242

109

Will a crossing of the Qiongzhou Strait, between Mainland China and Hainan, have started construction by 2035?

Jul 4, 9:00 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

57%chance

659

OptionVotes

NO

YES

99

82

Will China invade Taiwan directly or will they apply a salami tactic and only take over small islands near the Mainland?

Aug 16, 11:39 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

61.28%chance

430

OptionVotes

NO

YES

127

97

Latest stories

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Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Japan
World
Japan July Tourist Arrivals Hit Record 3.4 Million on China Demand
Authors
13
9 months ago

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