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Top stories

San Francisco Lets Waymo, Premium Rideshares Return to Market Street in Pilot

San Francisco Lets Waymo, Premium Rideshares Return to Market Street in Pilot

Authors

3

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Market Street

Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?

Feb 14, 2:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

60.69%chance

998752698

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12331

8038

Will the S&P 500 close above 7883.34 on December 31, 2026?

Jan 6, 2:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.51%chance

5226655

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1624

616

Will the Apple Vision Pro be worn in public in 2027?

Jun 6, 12:13 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

16.92%chance

817531

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3762

454

Will GME reach $30 before the end of 2026?

Jan 8, 9:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.76%chance

105216

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1433

698

Which of these new vehicle types will Tesla produce by 2034?

Jan 6, 6:39 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

704710

OptionProbability

A minibus

A bus

An airplane

A flying car

66

51

28

26

Jane Street guilty of Indian market manipulation or settles for $100M+?

Jul 5, 11:39 AMJul 6, 11:33 AM

30.12%chance

312983

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1523

657

Will CAISI have a Wikipedia page throughout December 2026?

Jul 2, 11:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.21%chance

102486

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1357

737

Did Jane Street do anything wrong in India?

Jul 9, 9:59 PMJan 1, 5:51 PM

47.56%chance

251610

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

952

Will the Wall Street Journal create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 10:32 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.42%chance

15577

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1455

887

Will we get commercially available flying cars before Dallas wins another super bowl?

Oct 24, 3:25 AMMay 24, 10:59 PM

32.84%chance

8432

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1430

699

US government loses more than $50 million in cryptocurrency by end of 2028

Mar 16, 10:33 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

45.42%chance

5298

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1096

912

Rippling wins its lawsuit against Deel by 2028?

May 12, 5:33 PMJan 1, 6:33 PM

52.98%chance

5183

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1061

942

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