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SpaceX Signs First Mars Starship Deal With Italian Space Agency
Authors
18
5 months ago
Prediction markets for Mars
OptionVotes
3743
452
Will Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?
Mar 23, 7:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
52%chance
452120313
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11005
10745
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2443
1835
OptionVotes
978
970
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16583
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By 2100, will there be scientific consensus supporting the existence of past or present life on Mars?
Feb 27, 5:13 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
39.21%chance
10326560
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1758
1520
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3832
578
Will the first uncrewed Starship to Mars launch within 2 years as Elon Musk says?
Sep 8, 6:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
7.44%chance
10026053
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5568
1357
Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth?
Mar 26, 4:52 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
70.76%chance
17325218
OptionVotes
11898
9090
Will the first crewed Starship to Mars launch within 4 years as Elon Musk says?
Sep 8, 6:55 PMMar 1, 4:59 AM
2.52%chance
3213321
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6849
490
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1040
891
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1021
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