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Prediction markets for MD

Will a nontoxic MDMA-like drug be legally available in the US by 2030?

May 8, 8:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.03%chance

4914598

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2832

661

Will Diddy get Epsteined while incarcerated at MDC Brooklyn?

Sep 18, 7:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4.16%chance

84598

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3364

46

Will MDMA-assisted therapy for PTSD be approved by the FDA before 2030?

Mar 8, 9:01 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

73.53%chance

264237

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1118

375

In what metropolitan area will Artemis live on January 1st, 2026?

Aug 9, 8:33 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

53236

OptionProbability

San Diego–Chula Vista–Carlsbad, CA MSA

San Francisco–Oakland–Fremont, CA MSA

New York–Newark–Jersey City, NY-NJ MSA

Seattle–Tacoma–Bellevue, WA MSA

Washington–Arlington–Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV MSA

Baltimore–Columbia–Towson, MD MSA

Other

Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD MSA

Los Angeles–Long Beach–Anaheim, CA MSA

60

9

8

6

5

4

4

3

1

Will any two of marijuana, MDMA, and psilocybin be rescheduled by 2026?

Dec 2, 3:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.43%chance

172718

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2783

359

Will I confidently think in 2026 that taking 120mg MDMA once every two months is less damaging to health than drinking two beers every night for 8 days in a row once every two months?

Dec 23, 7:08 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

55.13%chance

562229

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1366

705

Will California decriminalize and/or legalize MDMA before 2027?

Jan 14, 1:39 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

30.38%chance

411999

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1541

617

In 2030, will more than 30 million people in the US aged 18+ have tried ecstasy (MDMA/molly) in their lifetimes?

Feb 1, 6:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.05%chance

14739

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1090

910

In the Indian remake of house md what will he buy instead of a motorcycle?

Feb 9, 4:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11523

OptionProbability

Still a motorcycle

Fancy car

A Vespa or other scooter

Nothing

jeep

segway

An electric bike

A pet

a mini van

72

23

22

21

15

15

13

12

5

In what year will the USA have the first Gay, Black president like House MD predicted?

Sep 1, 4:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10362

OptionProbability

Other

2040

2032

2036

2028

2029

2030

2031

70

14

9

2

1

1

1

1

Will there be at least one new episode of House MD or a reboot released before the end of 2038?

Apr 9, 4:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.81%chance

11129

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1026

979

Will Joy Kong, MD and Bryan Johnson end up dating or falling in love

Jul 4, 10:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.5%chance

130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

129

77

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