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Top stories

NOAA Sees Auroras for 16 States as Rare Six-Planet Alignment Looms

NOAA Sees Auroras for 16 States as Rare Six-Planet Alignment Looms

Authors

13

6 months ago

Moonlight Dims Aug. 12 – 13 Perseid Meteor Shower Peak

Moonlight Dims Aug. 12 – 13 Perseid Meteor Shower Peak

Authors

72

6 months ago

Inouye Solar Telescope Captures Smallest Coronal Loops, First X-Class Flare; NASA Releases Sharpest Sun Images

Inouye Solar Telescope Captures Smallest Coronal Loops, First X-Class Flare; NASA Releases Sharpest Sun Images

Authors

3

5 months ago

Prediction markets for Mercury

Will a human walk on Mercury before 2040?

Dec 30, 8:59 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

1.01%chance

2410036

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8554

752

What will be the first celestial body other than Earth, Moon and Mars to be visited by humans?

Apr 2, 1:15 PMApr 10, 3:59 AM

263346

OptionProbability

Callisto

Ganymede

Europa

Titan

Mercury

Venus

Io

Other

51

17

16

8

5

1

1

1

Will there exist a swimming pool filled with mercury before 2030?

Dec 29, 11:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.9%chance

141924

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2392

419

Will more than a gram of non-radioactive gold be produced from mercury by 2030?

Jul 21, 10:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15%chance

61549

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2380

420

Will a human walk on Mercury before 2045?

Jan 1, 8:47 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

4.43%chance

141397

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2131

895

Will there be a crewed mission to Mercury before 2040?

Dec 30, 1:29 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

16.86%chance

13883

OptionVotes

YES

NO

201

147

Will there be a crewed mission to Mercury before 2045?

Dec 30, 8:26 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

24.78%chance

12726

OptionVotes

NO

YES

144

103

Will Mercury be dismantled before 2070?

May 13, 1:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17%chance

13709

OptionVotes

YES

NO

221

45

Will there be a crewed mission to Mercury before 2050?

Jan 8, 11:12 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

43.2%chance

9560

OptionVotes

NO

YES

121

62

Will a spacecraft that plans to attempt a soft landing on Mercury launch by the end of 2030?

Aug 25, 2:31 AMDec 2, 4:59 AM

24%chance

7113

OptionVotes

YES

NO

198

76

Successful Mercury landing till 2040?

Apr 22, 7:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.15%chance

342

OptionVotes

YES

NO

172

100

Which target will Tianwen-6 mission focus on?

Jul 10, 6:28 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Mercury

Venus

Mars

An asteroid

Jupiter

Saturn

Uranus

Neptune

A dwarf planet

A comet

Other

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

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