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Prediction markets for Microsoft

Will the New York Times (NYT) achieve a favorable outcome in its copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?

Dec 27, 9:24 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

79.55%chance

799213

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1428

958

Will Helion Energy deliver 50 MW of fusion-generated electricity to Microsoft before 2029?

May 10, 8:52 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

6%chance

458578

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6424

690

Will the first $10 Trillion dollar company be Apple OR Microsoft OR Nvidia?

Mar 16, 9:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

55.04%chance

637149

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2164

1451

Will Helion Deliver 10 Megawatts of Fusion Power to Microsoft by 2029?

May 10, 7:44 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

9.94%chance

264934

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4136

1235

Will the next version of Microsoft Windows operating system (Windows 12) be released before Grand Theft Auto 6?

Dec 29, 4:22 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.15%chance

504386

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2984

120

Will the first $10 Trillion dollar company be Microsoft?

Mar 18, 6:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.46%chance

314151

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4898

1496

Will the first $10 Trillion dollar company be Apple OR Microsoft?

Mar 16, 9:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18.4%chance

454022

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4062

1101

Will the first $10 Trillion company be a company other than Apple or Microsoft?

Mar 16, 9:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

79%chance

302900

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3709

1194

Will Microsoft power its data center with SMR(Small Modular Reactor) by 2030?

Sep 26, 6:44 AMJan 1, 2:59 PM

34.93%chance

392670

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1368

1087

Will OpenAI be more valuable than Microsoft before 2040?

Mar 7, 3:55 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

32.19%chance

282140

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1073

710

Will Microsoft successfully build a nuclear power plant before OpenAI claims to have AGI?

Jan 9, 5:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

36.11%chance

542139

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1045

875

Will Microsoft have at least one data center (partially) powered by a self-operated fission reactor before 2030?

Dec 15, 9:57 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

27.48%chance

231701

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1734

365

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