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Prediction markets for Milky Way
Will the Milky Way still exist in 2030? [long-term interest rate market]
Jan 9, 8:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
96.84%chance
67268839
OptionVotes
5543
181
OptionProbability
17
15
15
15
15
6
5
4
4
2
2
P(Aliens) - Is there human-level or above intelligent life in the Milky Way?
Dec 12, 11:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
50.48%chance
674020
OptionVotes
1291
509
Does a civilization with Kardashev rating equal or greater than 1 exist in the Milky Way?
Aug 10, 1:30 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM
25.12%chance
371105
OptionVotes
1247
887
OptionVotes
995
968
P(Aliens) - Are the 2020-2022 Pentagon UFO Navy videos evidence of human-level or above intelligent life in the Milky Way?
Dec 12, 11:45 PMDec 1, 11:59 PM
20.13%chance
21965
OptionVotes
1006
706
OptionVotes
992
986
OptionProbability
56
44
41
35
35
35
29
29
29
29
14
14
Will we observe a supernova in the Milky Way Galaxy before 2050?
Aug 2, 4:58 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM
69.77%chance
12284
OptionVotes
260
108
Will AGI successfully intervene and prevent the collision between the Milky Way Galaxy and the Andromeda Galaxy?
May 3, 4:53 PMDec 4, 5:59 AM
21.3%chance
8267
OptionVotes
175
79
OptionVotes
150
67
How many new interstellar objects will be discovered in 2026 that will pass through the Milky Way at a future time.
Jan 29, 8:17 PMDec 31, 8:13 PM
12
OptionProbability
36
32
32
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