MPS News

Labour Majority - No

Labour Majority - Yes

No Majority - Yes

No Majority - No

Conservative Majority - Yes

NO

0 defections

1 defection

2-5 defections

6-10 defections

11+ defections

One or more Conservative MPs defect to Reform UK

5 or more Conservative MPs defect to Reform UK in a coordinated way

Weak electoral pact: in the general election, Reform UK and Conservatives run against each other in 500 or fewer constituencies

Strong electoral pact: in the general election, Reform UK and Conservatives run against each other in 100 or fewer constituencies

The leaders of Reform UK and the Conservative Party announce a merge of the parties

Very strong electoral pact: in the general election, Reform UK and Conservatives do not run against each other in any constituencies

One or more Reform UK MPs defect to the Conservative Party

3 or more Reform UK MPs defect to the Conservative Party in a coordinated way

Richard Tice defects to the Conservative Party

Suella Braverman

Robert Jenrick

At least five MPs elected as Conservatives in 2024

At least one MP elected as Labour in 2024

Katie Lam

Jacob Rees-Mogg

Liz Truss

Priti Patel

Above 15

8 - 10

5 - 7

11 - 15

0

1

2

Above 0

Above 1

Above 2

Above 3

Above 5

Above 7

Above 390

Above 395

Above 400

Above 405

Above 410

> 0 MPs in the House of Commons.

polled above 20% in a BPC-member poll in the past year.

won >0 General Elections in the past decade.

registered with the Electoral Commission.

more MPs in Wales than any other party (N/A if Wales is independent)

polled above 30% in a BPC-member poll in the past year.

the most MPs in the House of Commons.

split into multiple electorally-successful parties since 2024.

polled above 40% in a BPC-member poll in the past year.

the 2nd most MPs in the House of Commons.

won the previous London Mayoral election

more MPs in Scotland than any other party (N/A if Scotland is independent)

> 0 MPs in the House of Commons.

registered with the Electoral Commission.

polled above 20% in a BPC-member poll in the past year.

won >0 General Elections in the past decade.

polled above 30% in a BPC-member poll in the past year.

the most MPs in the House of Commons.

polled above 40% in a BPC-member poll in the past year.

the 2nd most MPs in the House of Commons.

won the previous London Mayoral election

YES

Chris Bowen

Tim Wilson

Monique Ryan