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Prediction markets for MTA

Will NYC subway trains (on any line) still have conductors in 2035?

May 25, 12:48 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

86.87%chance

8731

OptionVotes

NO

YES

257

39

Will NYC MTA Access-A-Ride Paratransit Service assist more than 1 million New Yorkers in at least one month of 2025?

Jan 22, 6:56 AMJan 30, 4:59 AM

48.78%chance

4713

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

98

When will the Interborough Express (IBX) in New York City open for passenger service?

Jan 28, 7:40 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

5439

OptionProbability

2031 or later

2029

2030

2028

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

90

4

3

2

0

0

0

0

0

What year will the MTA's Second Avenue Subway Phase 2 open?

May 7, 7:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1100

OptionProbability

Other

2032

2031

2030

70

16

10

5

Will the NYC subway still report an On-time Performance of >=85% at the end of 2025? (overall 12-month average)

Dec 2, 5:57 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

36%chance

674

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

75

What will the Interborough Express (IBX) project cost be?

Jan 28, 7:48 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

31.57%chance

450

OptionProbability

NO

YES

332

93

Will Domenic Denicola attend a Mormon Transhumanism Association (MTA) conference by EOY2030?

Nov 11, 1:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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