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Prediction markets for Musk

Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion by Jan 1st, 2029?

Dec 17, 9:13 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

87.72%chance

320730786

OptionVotes

NO

YES

267510

37176

Will Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?

Mar 23, 7:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

51.55%chance

457124806

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10904

10840

Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion during his lifetime?

Sep 20, 7:29 PMJun 29, 3:59 AM

85%chance

10566395

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2903

485

Did Elon Musk control the SATANZ0Gpo tripcode, used in 4chan's /pol/ board?

Apr 16, 2:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.59%chance

6055039

OptionVotes

YES

NO

41085

2434

Will Elon Musk ever walk on Mars?

Mar 24, 7:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12%chance

14645614

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16583

9952

Will Elon Musk get more than half of his 2018 $55 billion Tesla pay package

Jan 31, 4:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

99.25%chance

6831737

OptionVotes

NO

YES

16227

271

Will the first uncrewed Starship to Mars launch within 2 years as Elon Musk says?

Sep 8, 6:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3%chance

10229900

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11415

1071

Will Elon Musk get a chip implanted in his brain before he passes away?

Jan 30, 7:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

36.13%chance

11518640

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15117

7622

What is Elon Musk's IQ?

Sep 18, 7:16 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

61.44%chance

7915381

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1133

897

Will the first crewed Starship to Mars launch within 4 years as Elon Musk says?

Sep 8, 6:55 PMMar 1, 4:59 AM

2.62%chance

3313326

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6660

495

Elon Musk full mental breakdown when?

Mar 19, 9:29 AMMar 26, 10:59 PM

15413310

OptionProbability

2029 or later

1st half 2026

First half 2025

2nd half 2026

Second half of 2025

1st half of 2028

2nd half of 2028

1st half of 2027

2nd half of 2027

He already did

Other

76

6

6

4

2

2

2

1

1

0

0

Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world at the end of 2030?

Jan 4, 11:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

48.07%chance

607021

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1164

679

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