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Prediction markets for Nanning

Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

Jun 4, 5:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

69101750

OptionProbability

Scott Wiener

Other

Christine Pelosi

Bruce Lou

Jane Kim

Nancy Pelosi will live forever and always win

64

20

14

1

1

1

Will a complex nanoscale self-replicating assembler be developed before 2040?

Mar 16, 11:26 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

52.64%chance

361361

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1132

819

Will we have a "text to polymer-sequence-that-folds-into-a-nanomachine-with-the-requirements-from-text" AI by 2040?

May 25, 12:30 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

38.95%chance

91300

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3864

3220

Will Nancy pelosi become a centenarian?

Feb 21, 11:25 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.09%chance

221153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1685

879

Will the Fertility Crisis be solved by Fertility Technology ( Artificial Wombs, Embryo Selection, Robot Nannies etc.)

Mar 16, 2:27 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

45%chance

20876

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1022

967

When will the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope launch? (by month)

Apr 11, 10:07 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM

4842

Will nanotechnology wipe out humanity by 2100?

Jun 25, 3:24 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

11.08%chance

14535

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1255

940

Will India control either mountain K2 or Nanga Parbat before Jan 1 2027

May 10, 3:08 PMJan 1, 4:01 PM

5.52%chance

6385

OptionVotes

YES

NO

414

24

Will Nancy Pelosi run for reelection in 2026?

Nov 11, 12:07 AMNov 11, 7:59 AM

58.12%chance

16343

OptionVotes

NO

YES

118

85

Will NASA's Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope launch in 2027?

Oct 16, 3:18 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

34.34%chance

8192

OptionVotes

YES

NO

222

134

Will the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope be renamed before the end of Trump's second term?

Apr 12, 5:08 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

21%chance

6126

OptionVotes

YES

NO

194

52

Will an electric vehicle containing a Sila Nanotechnologies >10% silicon anode be commercially available by the end of 2025?

May 8, 9:53 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

32.8%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

95

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