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Prediction markets for Natanz

Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026?

Dec 29, 11:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.49%chance

215388

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3796

264

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.59%chance

12744

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1031

884

How much did the 2025/06/21 U.S. strikes on Iran delay the nuclear weapon program?

Jun 22, 6:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5548

OptionProbability

>3 months

>6 months

>1 year

>2 years

>5 years

77

56

45

34

19

Will the US or Israel attack Pickaxe Mountain in Iran before Sep 1, 2026

Jul 21, 7:22 PMAug 31, 11:59 PM

20.41%chance

10324

OptionVotes

YES

NO

197

51

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