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Top stories

Omoyele Sowore Leads Protests Demanding ₦500,000 Salaries, Pension Reforms, and Promotions for Nigerian Police Officers

Omoyele Sowore Leads Protests Demanding ₦500,000 Salaries, Pension Reforms, and Promotions for Nigerian Police Officers

Authors

3

12 days ago

Prediction markets for National Assembly

Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?

Mar 25, 11:43 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

3.1%chance

8225584

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4756

624

Karol Nawrocki sworn in as President of Poland on August 6?

Jun 24, 3:03 PMAug 6, 2:53 PM

94%chance

185881

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3958

253

Will the French President of the Republic dissolve the National Assembly again before the end of 2025 ?

Jul 18, 8:41 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

60.19%chance

152832

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1230

813

🇮🇱 Will 'Greater Israel' successfully include all the territories of Gaza and West Bank by 2030? 🇮🇱

Nov 1, 6:37 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

37.97%chance

282095

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1148

601

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

Jun 3, 9:34 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

41.23%chance

261358

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1194

838

Will there be a United Nations General Assembly discussing the benefits and risks of AGI before June 2026?

Jun 13, 7:28 PMJun 3, 4:41 PM

46.74%chance

14929

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1068

937

UK recognizes Palestine as a state at the UN General Assembly in September 2025

Jul 29, 8:41 PMSep 25, 11:59 PM

71.15%chance

11910

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1570

637

Martial law declared in Korea in 2025?

Dec 4, 12:29 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

4.77%chance

8372

OptionVotes

YES

NO

447

22

What percentage of the vote will UPRONA party win in 2025 Burundian National Assembly election?

Jun 3, 6:58 PMJan 5, 11:59 PM

1245

OptionProbability

[0-1]

[2-3]

[4-5]

[6-7]

[8-10]

[11-20]

[21-100]

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

What percentage of the vote will other parties win in 2025 Burundian National Assembly election?

Jun 3, 7:03 PMJan 5, 11:59 PM

1180

OptionProbability

[0-1]

[2-3]

[4-5]

[6-10]

[11-20]

[21-100]

17

17

17

17

17

17

What percentage of the vote will CNL party win in 2025 Burundian National Assembly election?

Jun 3, 6:54 PMJan 5, 11:59 PM

1125

OptionProbability

[0-5]

[6-15]

[16-25]

[26-35]

[36-100]

20

20

20

20

20

How many votes to confirm Mike Waltz as UN Ambassador by September 19?

Jun 29, 5:46 AMSep 20, 11:59 PM

172

OptionProbability

49 or fewer

50

51

52

53

54

55

56

57

58 or more

43

15

9

6

4

4

4

4

4

4

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