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Top stories

U.S. Accelerates Screwworm Fight With Emergency Drug Powers and $750 Million Fly Factory

US Domestic Policy

U.S. Accelerates Screwworm Fight With Emergency Drug Powers and $750 Million Fly Factory

Authors

12

4 months ago

U.S. Confirms First Travel-Associated Human Case of Flesh-Eating New World Screwworm in Maryland Patient Who Traveled from Guatemala and El Salvador

Central America

U.S. Confirms First Travel-Associated Human Case of Flesh-Eating New World Screwworm in Maryland Patient Who Traveled from Guatemala and El Salvador

Authors

88

3 months ago

Prediction markets for New World

Will neither New Zealand nor South Africa be in the 2027 Rugby World Cup Final?

Oct 31, 5:09 AMNov 4, 3:59 PM

10%chance

81785

OptionVotes

YES

NO

383

57

Will a new pandemic caused by a currently unknown virus be declared by the World Health Organization by 2030?

Jan 23, 3:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

32.36%chance

291015

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1330

783

When will the New World Screwworm be eradicated in South America?

Oct 12, 3:05 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

9844

OptionProbability

2050 or later

2032-2034

2035-2037

2038-2040

2026-2028

2029-2031

2041-2043

2044-2046

2047-2049

2023-2025

18

12

11

11

10

10

9

9

9

1

Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the US, before 2027?

Apr 5, 11:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.56%chance

15809

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1266

790

Will New World screwworm (maggots that eat animals alive) be effectively eradicated from the wild by 2030?

Jan 10, 10:14 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

11.15%chance

22616

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1346

930

Will New Zealand fail to qualify for a Rugby World Cup in the 21st century?

Feb 9, 7:58 AMJan 1, 10:59 AM

13.15%chance

5192

OptionVotes

YES

NO

215

48

Will there be a new world record score in tournament Scrabble by 2030?

May 15, 5:50 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

33.42%chance

465

OptionVotes

YES

NO

141

71

Will any club in USL's new first division league reach the top 20 of the world's most valuable soccer clubs before 2050?

Mar 24, 6:28 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

28.09%chance

360

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

62

Will New Zealand men's national football team win a match at FIFA World Cup 2026?

Mar 24, 8:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.64%chance

440

OptionVotes

NO

YES

103

97

Who will hold the tetr.io "Supercharged" achievement world record in 67 days (New Years day)?

Oct 27, 12:24 AMJan 2, 12:25 AM

110

OptionProbability

icly

potato2017

roadtohrank

Other

40

20

20

20

Will someone write a new Sophie's world book featuring @arithmoquine, repligate, @adic_9, JDP, or parafactual by 2028

Jun 11, 5:22 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

is brave new world a utopia or distopia?

Mar 17, 10:48 AM

110

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