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Prediction markets for New World
Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?
Apr 21, 8:36 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
56.55%chance
318104661
OptionVotes
1102
888
Will neither New Zealand nor South Africa be in the 2027 Rugby World Cup Final?
Oct 31, 5:09 AMNov 4, 3:59 PM
4%chance
61766
OptionVotes
671
37
OptionProbability
12
12
11
11
10
10
10
10
10
1
Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the US, before 2027?
Apr 5, 11:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
54.73%chance
14646
OptionVotes
1100
909
Will a new pandemic caused by a currently unknown virus be declared by the World Health Organization by 2030?
Jan 23, 3:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
47.51%chance
28628
OptionVotes
1042
936
Will New World screwworm (maggots that eat animals alive) be effectively eradicated from the wild by 2030?
Jan 10, 10:14 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
14.46%chance
20316
OptionVotes
1046
974
Will New Zealand fail to qualify for a Rugby World Cup in the 21st century?
Feb 9, 7:58 AMJan 1, 10:59 AM
19.11%chance
4142
OptionVotes
165
57
Will there be a new world record score in tournament Scrabble by 2030?
May 15, 5:50 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
33.42%chance
465
OptionVotes
141
71
Will any club in USL's new first division league reach the top 20 of the world's most valuable soccer clubs before 2050?
Mar 24, 6:28 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
28.09%chance
360
OptionVotes
160
62
Will New Zealand men's national football team win a match at FIFA World Cup 2026?
Mar 24, 8:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
51.64%chance
440
OptionVotes
103
97
Will someone write a new Sophie's world book featuring @arithmoquine, repligate, @adic_9, JDP, or parafactual by 2028
Jun 11, 5:22 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100