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U.S. Accelerates Screwworm Fight With Emergency Drug Powers and $750 Million Fly Factory

1 year ago

U.S. Confirms First Travel-Associated Human Case of Flesh-Eating New World Screwworm in Maryland Patient Who Traveled from Guatemala and El Salvador

1 year ago

What is Quroe's favorite animal?

Dec 14, 11:53 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

6863788

OptionProbability

Cape Buffalo - Syncerus caffer caffer

Wolverine - Gulo gulo 🥉🥉

Yellow-Lipped Sea Krait - Laticauda colubrina 🥉

Sonoran Desert Sidewinder - Crotalus cerastes cercobombus

Coyote - Canis latrans

[⚔️Underdog] Sulfur Cave Molly - Poecilia sulphuraria 🥉🥉

Common Bed Bug - Cimex lectularius

Brown Rat - Rattus norvegicus 🥉

House Mouse - Mus musculus domesticus

[⚔️Frontrunner] Sea Otter - Enhydra lutris

❌Defeated: Lion - Panthera leo 🥈🥉🥉[beat by Dolphin]

❌Defeated: Bornean orangutan - Pongo pygmaeus [beat by Giant Nematode]

❌Defeated: Hippopotamus - Hippopotamus amphibius 🥈🥈🥈 [beat by Brown Rat]

❌Defeated: Dog - Canis familiaris 🥉🥈 [beat by Leopard seal]

❌Defeated: Cat - Felis catus 🥉🥉🥉 [beat by Meerkat]

❌Defeated: Tiger - Panthera tigris 🥈🥈 [beat by Sulfur Cave Molly]

❌Defeated: Dolphin - Tursiops truncatus 🥉 [beat by Leopard Seal]

❌Defeated: Elephant - Loxodonta africana 🥈🥈[beat by Giant Nematode]

❌Defeated: Giant Panda - Ailuropoda melanoleuca [beat by Polar Bear]

❌Defeated: Penguin - Aptenodytes forsteri 🥉 [beat by Wolverine]

❌Defeated: Axolotl - Ambystoma mexicanum [beat by Great black-backed gull]

❌Defeated: Orca - Orcinus orca [beat by Housefly]

❌Defeated: Honey Badger - Mellivora capensis 🥈 [beat by Meerkat]

❌Defeated: Hotwheels sisyphus spider - Hotwheels sisyphus [beat by Saltwater Crocodile]

❌Defeated: Polar Bear - Ursus maritimus 🥈 [beat byt Cat]

❌Defeated: Saltwater Crocodile - Crocodylus porosus 🥈🥈🥈🥈 [beat by Red Fox]

🚫Ineligible: Water bear - Milnesium tardigradum

❌Defeated: Ping-Pong Tree Sponge - Chondrocladia concrescens 🥉 [beat by Prehistoric Elephant]

🚫Ineligible: human [I'm shortening this]

🚫Ineligible: Tardigrade (LFG)

❌Defeated: Great White Shark - Carcharodon carcharias [beat by Lion]

🚫Ineligible: [This animal was edited in bad faith]

❌Defeated: Blue Whale - Balaenoptera musculus [beat by Housefly]

❌Defeated: Wolf - Canis lupus [beat by Prehistoric Elephant]

❌Defeated: Red Fox - Vulpes vulpes 🥉🥈 [beat by Giant Pacific Octopus]

❌Defeated: Cliff Swallow - Petrochelidon pyrrhonota [beat by Elephant]

❌Defeated: Platypus - Ornithorhynchus anatinus 🥉🥉 [beat by Western Lowland Gorilla]

❌Defeated: Haast's Eagle - Hieraaetus moorei [beat by Prehistoric Elephant]

❌Defeated: Giant Nematode - Placentonema gigantissima 🥉🥉 [beat by Wolverine]

❌Defeated: Flightless Elephant Bird - Aepyornis maximus [beat by Saltwater Crocodile]

❌Defeated: Prehistoric Elephant - Palaeoloxodon namadicus [beat by Dog]🥉🥉🥈

❌Defeated: Pompeii Worm - Alvinella pompejana [beat by Cat]

❌Defeated: Sperm Whale - Physeter macrocephalus [beat by Ice Worm]

❌Defeated: Great evening bat - Ia io [beat by Lion]

❌Defeated: Funny valentine spider - Funny valentine [beat by Dermophis donaldtrumpi Caecilian]

❌Defeated: Yi qi dinosaur - Yi qi [beat by Elephant]

❌Defeated: Aha ha wasp - Aha ha [beat by Hippopotamus]

❌Defeated: Penis snake - Atretochoana eiselti [beat by Cat]

❌Defeated: Colossal Whale - Perucetus colossus [beat by Meerkat]

❌Defeated: Cuban Cockroach - Panchlora nivea [beat by Hippopotamus]

❌Defeated: Panther Chameleon - Furcifer pardalis [beat by Saltwater Crocodile]

❌Defeated: Giant Dragonfly - Meganeuropsis permiana [beat by Red Fox]

❌Defeated: Giant Pacific Octopus - Enteroctopus dofleini 🥉[beat by Ice Worm]

❌Defeated: Triceratops - Triceratops horridus [beat by Red Volcano Sponge]

❌Defeated: Giant Pterosaur - Quetzalcoatlus northropi [beat by Ping-Pong Tree Sponge]

❌Defeated: Lesser Flamingo - Phoeniconaias minor [beat by Honey Badger]

❌Defeated: Kiwi - Apteryx australis [beat by Dog]

❌Defeated: Red Volcano Sponge - Acarnus Erithacus 🥉[beat by Platypus]

❌Defeated: Ice Worm - Mesenchytraeus solifugus 🥉🥉[beat by Tiger]

❌Defeated: Meerkat - Suricata suricatta 🥉🥉🥉 [beat by Yellow-Lipped Sea Krait]

❌Defeated: Housefly - Musca domestica 🥉🥉🥉 [beat by Tiger]

❌Defeated: Feral pigeon - Columba livia urbana [beat by Housefly]

❌Defeated: Great black-backed gull - Larus marinus 🥉 [beat by Western lowland gorilla]

❌Defeated: Leopard seal - Hydrurga leptonyx 🥉🥈 [beat by Sulfur Cave Molly]

❌Defeated: Western lowland gorilla - Gorilla gorilla gorilla 🥈🥈🥈 [beat by Penguin]

❌Defeated: Eastern lowland gorilla - Gorilla beringei graueri [beat by Lion]

❌Defeated: Dermophis donaldtrumpi Caecilian - Dermophis donaldtrumpi 🥈[beat by Brownthroated three-toed sloth]

❌Defeated: New World Screwworm - Cochliomyia hominivorax [beat by Hippopotamus]

❌Defeated: Brownthroated three-toed sloth - Bradypus variegatus 🥉 [beat by Western lowland gorilla]

❌Defeated: Chinese giant salamander - Andrias davidianus [beat by Saltwater Crocodile]

🚫Ineligible: [edited in bad faith]

❌Defeated: Australopithecus - Australopithecus afarensis [beat by Platypus]

Other

Gary Marcus 2026 AI Predictions

Dec 21, 4:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

488065

OptionProbability

Backlash to Generative AI and radical deregulation will escalate.

Human domestic robots like Optimus and Figure will be all demo and very little product.

We won’t get to AGI in 2026 (or 7).

No country will take a decisive lead in the GenAI “race”.

Work on new approaches such as world models and neurosymbolic will escalate.

2025 will be known as the year of the peak bubble, and also the moment at which Wall Street began to lose confidence in generative AI.

Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the US, before 2027?

Apr 5, 11:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60.34%chance

262807

OptionVotes

YES

1234

811

Will neither New Zealand nor South Africa be in the 2027 Rugby World Cup Final?

Oct 31, 5:09 AMNov 4, 3:59 PM

17.36%chance

91815

OptionVotes

YES

266

Will a new pandemic caused by a currently unknown virus be declared by the World Health Organization by 2030?

Jan 23, 3:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

30.42%chance

311085

OptionVotes

YES

1398

752

When will the New World Screwworm be eradicated in South America?

Oct 12, 3:05 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

10848

OptionProbability

2050 or later

2038-2040

2032-2034

2035-2037

2041-2043

2026-2028

2029-2031

2044-2046

2047-2049

2023-2025

Will New World screwworm (maggots that eat animals alive) be effectively eradicated from the wild by 2030?

Jan 10, 10:14 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

10.25%chance

23728

OptionVotes

YES

1458

917

Will New Zealand fail to qualify for a Rugby World Cup in the 21st century?

Feb 9, 7:58 AMJan 1, 10:59 AM

13.15%chance

5192

OptionVotes

YES

215

Will there be a new world record score in tournament Scrabble by 2030?

May 15, 5:50 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

42.72%chance

588

OptionVotes

YES

116

Will any club in USL's new first division league reach the top 20 of the world's most valuable soccer clubs before 2050?

Mar 24, 6:28 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

28.09%chance

360

OptionVotes

YES

160

Will someone write a new Sophie's world book featuring @arithmoquine, repligate, @adic_9, JDP, or parafactual by 2028

Jun 11, 5:22 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

OptionVotes

YES

100

is brave new world a utopia or distopia?

Mar 17, 10:48 AM

110

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What is Quroe's favorite animal?

Gary Marcus 2026 AI Predictions

Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the US, before 2027?

Will neither New Zealand nor South Africa be in the 2027 Rugby World Cup Final?

Will a new pandemic caused by a currently unknown virus be declared by the World Health Organization by 2030?

When will the New World Screwworm be eradicated in South America?

Will New World screwworm (maggots that eat animals alive) be effectively eradicated from the wild by 2030?

Will New Zealand fail to qualify for a Rugby World Cup in the 21st century?

Will there be a new world record score in tournament Scrabble by 2030?

Will any club in USL's new first division league reach the top 20 of the world's most valuable soccer clubs before 2050?

Will someone write a new Sophie's world book featuring @arithmoquine, repligate, @adic_9, JDP, or parafactual by 2028

is brave new world a utopia or distopia?

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