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Prediction markets for New York Cities

Will the Trump administration militarize New York City before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 3, 7:20 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

9.99%chance

216210

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3004

333

Will Tesla be the first to provide robotaxis in New York City?

Jan 15, 8:40 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

7.03%chance

455134

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1932

876

Will Waymo be the first to provide robotaxis in New York City?

Jan 23, 8:03 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

82.57%chance

432228

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1461

858

Will New York City still be in a legally declared rental housing emergency by April 1, 2027?

Feb 4, 6:08 PMApr 2, 3:59 AM

80.34%chance

81698

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2022

495

Will New York City's population be at least as high in 2030 as it was in 2020?

Oct 7, 12:33 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46.05%chance

17482

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1105

875

Will New York City have a generally available self-driving taxi or rideshare service by 2026?

Jan 11, 5:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

36.94%chance

11350

OptionVotes

NO

YES

199

158

Will Dubai have more skyscrapers than New York City in February 2030?

Sep 4, 12:04 AMFeb 3, 11:59 PM

42.85%chance

5348

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1266

737

Who will win the 2029 Democratic primary for New York City mayor?

Jan 1, 3:24 AMJun 24, 11:59 AM

4316

OptionProbability

Zohran Mamdani

Other

84

16

Will New York City still be in a legally declared rental housing emergency by April 1, 2030?

Feb 4, 6:49 PMApr 2, 3:59 AM

50.7%chance

4205

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1014

986

Will New York City still be in a legally declared rental housing emergency by April 1, 2036?

Feb 4, 6:51 PMApr 2, 3:59 AM

40.98%chance

2200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1200

833

Will New York City government have a 1975 style financial crisis, threat of bankruptcy, before the end of 2028?

Mar 29, 1:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.12%chance

9159

OptionVotes

NO

YES

200

200

Will New York City still be in a legally declared rental housing emergency by April 1, 2033?

Feb 4, 6:50 PMApr 2, 3:59 AM

45.25%chance

2100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

909

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