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Prediction markets for New York Cities

By which year will there be self-driving cars in New York City?

Aug 18, 12:20 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

396367

OptionProbability

2029

2028

2026

2027

2025

2024

70

55

47

43

1

0

Will the Trump administration militarize New York City before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 3, 7:20 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

13.62%chance

215393

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2520

397

Will Tesla be the first to provide robotaxis in New York City?

Jan 15, 8:40 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

6.82%chance

455079

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1988

872

Will Waymo be the first to provide robotaxis in New York City?

Jan 23, 8:03 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

82.21%chance

432223

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1435

864

Will New York City still be in a legally declared rental housing emergency by April 1, 2027?

Feb 4, 6:08 PMApr 2, 3:59 AM

75.4%chance

61391

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1751

571

Will New York City's population be at least as high in 2030 as it was in 2020?

Oct 7, 12:33 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50.97%chance

16382

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1005

970

Who will win the 2029 Democratic primary for New York City mayor?

Jan 1, 3:24 AMJun 24, 11:59 AM

4266

OptionProbability

Zohran Mamdani

Other

79

21

Will New York City still be in a legally declared rental housing emergency by April 1, 2036?

Feb 4, 6:51 PMApr 2, 3:59 AM

40.98%chance

2200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1200

833

Will New York City government have a 1975 style financial crisis, threat of bankruptcy, before the end of 2028?

Mar 29, 1:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.12%chance

9159

OptionVotes

NO

YES

200

200

Will Dubai have more skyscrapers than New York City in February 2030?

Sep 4, 12:04 AMFeb 3, 11:59 PM

54.26%chance

5118

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1036

954

Will New York City still be in a legally declared rental housing emergency by April 1, 2030?

Feb 4, 6:49 PMApr 2, 3:59 AM

45.52%chance

3105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1094

914

Will New York City still be in a legally declared rental housing emergency by April 1, 2033?

Feb 4, 6:50 PMApr 2, 3:59 AM

45.25%chance

2100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

909

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