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Prediction markets for New York Cities

Will Eric Adams resign as Mayor of New York City before his term is over?

Oct 5, 1:55 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2.27%chance

386168

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1379

8

Will Tesla be the first to provide robotaxis in New York City?

Jan 15, 8:40 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

11.53%chance

444304

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1212

946

📜Which of the Ten Biblical Plagues of Egypt will strike New York City in 2025?

Feb 7, 10:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

252496

OptionProbability

A Storm with Thunder, Lightning, and Hail (and optionally, Fire)

Swarm of Locusts (or Cicadas)

Infestation of Lice (or Bedbugs)

Infestation of (Flies / Wild Animals)

3 days of Darkness (or Wildfire smog or power Blackout)

Pestilence of Livestock

Outbreak of Boils

Water turning into blood (or Red Tide)

Swarm of Frogs

Death of firstborns (see rules)

92

91

70

50

20

18

15

10

6

2

Will the Trump administration militarize New York City before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 3, 7:20 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

33.28%chance

202136

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1416

706

Will Waymo be the first to provide robotaxis in New York City?

Jan 23, 8:03 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

67.79%chance

411593

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1064

805

Who will win the 2029 New York City mayoral election?

Jun 25, 1:42 AMNov 6, 11:59 PM

241429

OptionProbability

Zohran Mamdani

Other

Brad Lander

Andrew Cuomo

Andrew Yang

No one

81

15

6

5

3

1

Will New York City still be in a legally declared rental housing emergency by April 1, 2027?

Feb 4, 6:08 PMApr 2, 3:59 AM

75.4%chance

61391

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1751

571

Will New York City's population be at least as high in 2030 as it was in 2020?

Oct 7, 12:33 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50.97%chance

16382

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1005

970

Will New York City still be in a legally declared rental housing emergency by April 1, 2036?

Feb 4, 6:51 PMApr 2, 3:59 AM

40.98%chance

2200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1200

833

Will Dubai have more skyscrapers than New York City in February 2030?

Sep 4, 12:04 AMFeb 3, 11:59 PM

54.26%chance

5118

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1036

954

Will New York City still be in a legally declared rental housing emergency by April 1, 2030?

Feb 4, 6:49 PMApr 2, 3:59 AM

45.52%chance

3105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1094

914

Will New York City still be in a legally declared rental housing emergency by April 1, 2033?

Feb 4, 6:50 PMApr 2, 3:59 AM

45.25%chance

2100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

909

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