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Prediction markets for New York City Democratic

Will Andrew Yang be elected to any major US political office before 2030?

Dec 16, 6:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

11.97%chance

152709

OptionVotes

NO

YES

940

722

Will someone I've met be elected President in either 2028 or 2032?

Jan 28, 4:09 PMJan 16, 4:59 AM

61.64%chance

482387

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5267

1567

Who will win the 2029 New York City Democratic mayoral primary?

Jun 25, 1:40 AMJun 24, 10:59 PM

301846

OptionProbability

Zohran Mamdani

Am I the creator?

Other

Brad Lander

Andrew Yang

Andrew Cuomo

No one

Santa Claus

78

50

34

10

9

3

1

1

Who will win the 2029 Democratic primary for New York City mayor?

Jan 1, 3:24 AMJun 24, 11:59 AM

4266

OptionProbability

Zohran Mamdani

Other

79

21

NYC government-run grocery stores exist on January 1, 2030?

Jun 25, 3:15 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

54.4%chance

7238

OptionVotes

NO

YES

109

92

By the end of Mamdani's term of office New York City violent crime rate will be higher than when he took office.

Dec 20, 7:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64%chance

6117

OptionVotes

NO

YES

133

75

Who would you rank #1 for NYC Mayor Democratic Primary Ballot?

Jun 13, 3:38 PM

280

Who would you rank #2 for NYC Mayor Democratic Primary Ballot?

Jun 14, 12:43 AM

150

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