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Prediction markets for New York City Democratic

Will Andrew Yang be elected to any major US political office before 2030?

Dec 16, 6:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.94%chance

172860

OptionVotes

NO

YES

922

872

Will someone I've met be elected President in either 2028 or 2032?

Jan 28, 4:09 PMJan 16, 4:59 AM

57.32%chance

492691

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4970

1769

Who will win the 2029 New York City Democratic mayoral primary?

Jun 25, 1:40 AMJun 24, 10:59 PM

312076

OptionProbability

Zohran Mamdani

Am I the creator?

Other

Andrew Yang

Andrew Cuomo

Brad Lander

No one

Santa Claus

84

50

17

9

3

2

1

1

Who will win the 2029 Democratic primary for New York City mayor?

Jan 1, 3:24 AMJun 24, 11:59 AM

4316

OptionProbability

Zohran Mamdani

Other

84

16

By the end of Mamdani's term of office New York City violent crime rate will be higher than when he took office.

Dec 20, 7:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.51%chance

13246

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119

84

NYC government-run grocery stores exist on January 1, 2030?

Jun 25, 3:15 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

54.4%chance

7238

OptionVotes

NO

YES

109

92

Will Adriano Espaillat run in the 2026 NY13 general election as an independent or third party candidate?

Jun 24, 4:52 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

14%chance

1207

OptionVotes

YES

NO

248

40

Will Donald Trump run for mayor of nyc in 2029?

Aug 29, 12:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.95%chance

5186

OptionVotes

YES

NO

127

99

Who would you rank #1 for NYC Mayor Democratic Primary Ballot?

Jun 13, 3:38 PM

290

Who would you rank #2 for NYC Mayor Democratic Primary Ballot?

Jun 14, 12:43 AM

160

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