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Prediction markets for New York City Democratic

Eric Adams no longer identifies as a Democrat by December 31, 2025

Apr 12, 8:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.41%chance

273509

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1974

506

Will Andrew Yang be elected to any major US political office before 2030?

Dec 16, 6:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

11.97%chance

152709

OptionVotes

NO

YES

940

722

Will someone I've met be elected President in either 2028 or 2032?

Jan 28, 4:09 PMJan 16, 4:59 AM

61.64%chance

482387

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5267

1567

Who will win the 2029 New York City Democratic mayoral primary?

Jun 25, 1:40 AMJun 24, 10:59 PM

291843

OptionProbability

Zohran Mamdani

Am I the creator?

Other

Brad Lander

Andrew Yang

Andrew Cuomo

No one

Santa Claus

79

50

34

10

5

3

1

1

What will Trump give Zohran Mamdani for his nickname?

Jun 26, 7:07 PMDec 31, 6:56 PM

401812

OptionProbability

Other

Little Muhammad

Mamadani

Commie Mamdani

Commie Zohran

Socialist Zohran

Little Zohran

My Little Communist

Muslim Mamdani

Radical Mamdani

Leftist Mamdani

Dumdani/Dumbdani

Zany Zohran

N/A

Pocahontas Mamdani

My best friend!

30

18

10

9

6

4

4

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

Will Zohran Mamdani go on Joe Rogan in 2025?

Jul 28, 11:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.46%chance

13355

OptionVotes

YES

NO

303

38

NYC government-run grocery stores exist on January 1, 2030?

Jun 25, 3:15 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

54.4%chance

7238

OptionVotes

NO

YES

109

92

Who would you rank #2 for NYC Mayor Democratic Primary Ballot?

Jun 14, 12:43 AM

150

Who would you rank #1 for NYC Mayor Democratic Primary Ballot?

Jun 13, 3:38 PM

280

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