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Prediction markets for New York District

Who will win the 2026 election for New York's 12th Congressional District?

Nov 13, 5:53 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM

253639

OptionProbability

Micah Lasher

Alex Bores

Jack Schlossberg

Cameron Kasky

George Conway

Other

99

0

0

0

0

0

Who will win the 2026 election for New York's 7th Congressional District?

Nov 21, 5:01 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM

91937

OptionProbability

Claire Valdez

Julia Salazar

Antonio Reynoso

Sandy Nurse

Julie Won

Other

99

0

0

0

0

0

What US charges will Nicolás Maduro be found guilty of?

Jan 4, 5:59 PMJan 5, 5:48 PM

14684

OptionProbability

Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy

Cocaine Importation Conspiracy

Possession of Machineguns and Destructive Devices

Conspiracy to Possess Machineguns and Destructive Devices

59

51

49

46

Will there be any Congressional Special Election flips in the 119th Congress?

Dec 4, 10:41 PMNov 3, 10:59 PM

6.64%chance

4325

OptionVotes

YES

NO

375

27

Who will win the 2026 election for New York's 8th Congressional District

Nov 17, 8:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3288

OptionProbability

Hakeem Jeffries (incumbent)

Chi Ossé

Other

93

5

2

Will OpenAI lose a class-action copyright-related lawsuit before 2028?

Sep 21, 9:48 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

68.9%chance

9233

OptionVotes

NO

YES

208

114

Will Nicolás Maduro be convicted in a U.S. federal court before January 1, 2027?

Jan 15, 12:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.45%chance

12213

OptionVotes

YES

NO

171

58

Rippling wins its lawsuit against Deel by 2028?

May 12, 5:33 PMJan 1, 6:33 PM

52.98%chance

5183

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1061

942

What will be the outcome of the EEOC suit against the NYT?

May 11, 6:49 PMDec 31, 6:43 PM

3170

OptionProbability

Settles out of court

NYT wins

EEOC wins

47

28

25

Will the Spanish ex-president José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be tried because of his involvement with Maduro’s government?

Jan 22, 5:20 AMJan 30, 11:59 PM

28.91%chance

9101

OptionVotes

YES

NO

157

64

Will Michele Spagnuolo be convicted

May 28, 1:27 PMMay 1, 1:22 PM

75.26%chance

689

OptionVotes

NO

YES

174

57

Will Alex Bores run for Congress in 2028?

Jun 24, 2:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.09%chance

461

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

69

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