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Prediction markets for New York District

Who will win the 2026 election for New York's 12th Congressional District?

Nov 13, 5:53 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM

9847

OptionProbability

Micah Lasher

Alex Bores

Jack Schlossberg

George Conway

Cameron Kasky

Other

49

31

8

6

3

3

What US charges will Nicolás Maduro be found guilty of?

Jan 4, 5:59 PMJan 5, 5:48 PM

14680

OptionProbability

Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy

Cocaine Importation Conspiracy

Possession of Machineguns and Destructive Devices

Conspiracy to Possess Machineguns and Destructive Devices

59

51

49

46

Who will win the 2026 election for New York's 7th Congressional District?

Nov 21, 5:01 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM

3344

OptionProbability

Antonio Reynoso

Claire Valdez

Other

Julia Salazar

Sandy Nurse

48

38

8

3

3

Who will win the 2026 election for New York's 8th Congressional District

Nov 17, 8:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3288

OptionProbability

Hakeem Jeffries (incumbent)

Chi Ossé

Other

93

5

2

Will OpenAI lose a class-action copyright-related lawsuit before 2028?

Sep 21, 9:48 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

68.9%chance

9233

OptionVotes

NO

YES

208

114

Will Nicolás Maduro be convicted in a U.S. federal court before January 1, 2027?

Jan 15, 12:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.45%chance

12213

OptionVotes

YES

NO

171

58

Will credible evidence emerge before 2027 that Meta can access the content of WhatsApp messages despite end-to-end encry

Jan 27, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.66%chance

6187

OptionVotes

YES

NO

251

40

Rippling wins its lawsuit against Deel by 2028?

May 12, 5:33 PMJan 1, 6:33 PM

52.98%chance

5183

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1061

942

Will there be any Congressional Special Election flips in the 119th Congress?

Dec 4, 10:41 PMNov 3, 10:59 PM

16.48%chance

2155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

225

44

Who wins 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?

Dec 23, 6:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2130

OptionProbability

Adriano Espaillat

Darializa Avila Chevalier

Other

65

30

5

Will the Spanish ex-president José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be tried because of his involvement with Maduro’s government?

Jan 22, 5:20 AMJan 30, 11:59 PM

37.61%chance

435

OptionVotes

YES

NO

129

78

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