OptionProbability
Dummy answer required due to Manifold's multiple-choice market design, will resolve N/A
Pat Scott @Stralor
@retr0id
@8my41
@vi
@Bandors
@Quroe
@Eternal
@Cy
@astroblob
@zhengkyl
@AlirezaAfshan
@Celene
@AtharvPatil
50
31
28
26
25
21
20
15
14
13
13
11
10
8
OptionProbability
05/08 6:30 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics WIN against the (Toronto) Tempo?
05/08 9:00 PM: Will the (Golden State) Valkyries WIN against the (Seattle) Storm?
05/09 12:00 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wings WIN against the (Indiana) Fever?
05/09 2:30 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against the (Las Vegas) Aces?
05/09 8:00 PM: Will the (Chicago) Sky WIN against the (Portland) Fire?
05/09 7:00 PM: Will the (Atlanta) Dream WIN against the (Minnesota) Lynx?
05/10 12:00 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against the (Connecticut) Sun?
05/10 2:00 PM: Will the (New York) Libery WIN against the (Washington) Mystics?
05/10 5:00 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces WIN against the (Los Angeles) Sparks?
05/12 7:00 PM: Will the (Atlanta) Dream WIN against the (Dallas) Wingz?
05/13 7:00 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces WIN against the (Connecticut) Sun?
05/14 7:00 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx WIN against the (Dallas) Wingz?
05/14 9:00 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty WIN against the (Portland) Fire?
05/15 6:30 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces WIN against the (Connecticut) Suns?
05/15 6:30 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics WIN against the (Indiana) Fever?
05/17 12:30 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces WIN against the (Atlanta) Dream?
05/19 9:00 PM: Will the (Toronto) Tempo WIN against the (Phoenix) Mercury?
05/23 12:00 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx WIN against (Chicago) Sky?
05/23 5:00 PM: Will the (Portland) Fire WIN against (Toronto) Tempo?
(Los Angeles) Sparks WIN against (Las Vegas) Aces?
05/27 6:00 PM: Will the (Toronto) Tempo WIN against (Chicago) Sky?
05/27 9:00 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics WIN against (Seattle) Storm?
05/29 6:30 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Sparks WIN against (Washington) Mystics?
05/29 6:30 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx WIN against (Chicago) Sky?
05/31 2:30 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces WIN against (Golden State) Valkyries?
06/01 9:00 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx WIN against (Phoenix) Mercury?
06/08 6:00 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty WIN against (Connecticut) Suns?
06/08 6:00 PM: Will the (Indiana) Fever WIN against (Washington) Mystics?
06/09 6:00 PM: Will the (Atlanta) Dream WIN against (Chicago) Sky?
06/10 9:00 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Sparks WIN against (Seattle) Storm?
06/11 7:30 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty WIN against (Atlanta) Dream?
06/12 7:30 PM: Will the (Golden State) Valkyries WIN against (Seattle) Storm?
06/13 6:00 PM: Will the (Indiana) Fever WIN against (Connecticut) Sun?
06/13 10:00 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Sparks WIN against (Phoenix) Mercury?
06/14 3:00 PM: Will the (Atlanta) Dream WIN against (Toronto) Tempo?
06/16 7:00 PM: Will the (Toronto) Tempo WIN against (Indiana) Fever?
06/17 7:00 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics WIN against (Connecticut) Sun?
06/17 8:00 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty WIN against (Chicago) Sky?
06/17 10:00 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx WIN against (Los Angeles) Sparks?
06/17 10:00 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces WIN against (Phoenix) Mercury?
06/18 7:30 PM: Will the (Atlanta) Dream WIN against (Indiana) Fever?
06/19 7:30 PM: Will the (Toronto) Tempo WIN against (Connecticut) Sun?
06/19 7:30 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics WIN against (New York) Liberty?
06/19 10:00 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx WIN against (Golden State) Valkyries?
06/21 6:00 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics WIN against (Minnesota) Lynx?
06/22 10:00 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wingz WIN against (Seattle) Storm?
06/23 10:00 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty WIN against (Las Vegas) Aces?
06/24 7:30 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against (Indiana) Fever?
06/24 7:30 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx WIN against (Washington) Mystics?
06/28 2:00 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx WIN against (Dallas) Wingz?
06/28 4:00 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces WIN against (Chicago) Sky?
06/28 2:00 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx WIN against (Dallas) Wingz?
07/02 8:00 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wingz WIN against (Connecticut) Sky?
07/04 1:00 PM: Will the (Golden State) Valkyries WIN against (Atlanta) Dream?
07/04 9:00 PM: Will the (Portland) Fire WIN against (Seattle) Storm?
07/05 3:00 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wingz WIN against (Toronto) Tempo?
07/05 3:00 PM: Will the (Indiana) Fever WIN against (Las Vegas) Aces?
07/06 10:00 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against (Las Vegas) Aces?
07/07 8:00 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wingz WIN against (New York) Liberty?
07/07 10:00 PM: Will the (Chicago) Sky WIN against (Phoenix) Fire?
07/08 7:00 PM: Will the (Golden State) Valkyries WIN against (Toronto) Tempo?
07/10 7:30 PM: Will the (Golden State) Valkyries WIN against (Connecticut) Sun?
07/10 7:30 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wingz WIN against (Toronto) Tempo?
07/11 4:00 PM: Will the (Portland) Fire WIN against (Atlanta) Dream?
07/17 7:30 PM: Will the (Atlanta) Dream WIN against (Toronto) Tempo?
07/17 10:00 PM: Will the (Connecticut) Sun WIN against (Phoenix) Mercury?
07/20 8:00 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty WIN against (Dallas) Wingz?
07/20 8:00 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces WIN against (Toronto) Tempo?
07/20 10:00 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics WIN against (Golden State) Valkyries?
07/20 10:00 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx WIN against (Seattle) Storm?
07/28 9:30 PM: Will the (Indiana) Fever WIN against (Seattle) Storm?
07/28 10:00 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty WIN against (Los Angeles) Sparks?
07/29 8:00 PM: Will the (Atlanta) Dream WIN against (Dallas) Wingz?
07/30 8:00 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx WIN against (Toronto) Tempo?
07/31 10:00 PM: Will the (Inidana) Fever WIN against (Portland) Fire?
08/02 3:30 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Sparks WIN against (Portland) Fire?
08/03 7:00 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces WIN against (Atlanta) Dream?
08/03 9:00 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against (Chicago) Sky?
08/06 7:00 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces WIN against (Indiana) Fever?
08/06 9:00 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Sparks WIN against (Minnesota) Lynx?
08/07 7:30 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against (Connecticut) Sun?
08/07 7:30 PM: Will the (Atlanta) Dream WIN against (Washington) Mystics?
08/07 9:30 PM: Will the (Dallas) Valkyries WIN against (Washington) Wingz?
08/06 10:00 PM: Will the (Toronto) Tempo WIN against (Portland) Fire?
05/08 6:30 PM: Will the (Connecticut) Sun WIN against the (New York) Liberty?
05/10 5:00 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against the (Golden State) Valkyries?
05/13 6:00 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against the (Toronto) Tempo?
05/15 9:00 PM: Will the (Toronto) Tempo WIN against the (Los Angeles) Sparks?
05/15 9:00 PM: Will the (Chicago) Sky WIN against the (Phoenix) Mercury?
05/18 9:00 PM: Will the (Connecticut) Sun WIN against the (Portland) Fire?
05/22 6:30 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wingz WIN against Atlanta Dream?
05/22 6:30 PM: Will the (Golden State) Valkyries WIN against (Indiana) Fever?
05/22 9:00 PM: Will (Connecticut) Sun WIN against (Seattle) Storm?
05/27 6:00 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against (New York) Liberty?
05/27 8:00 PM: Will the (Atlanta) Dream WIN against (Minnesota) Lynx?
05/27 9:00 PM: Will the (Connecticut) Sun WIN against (Portland) Fire?
05/28 7:00 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces WIN against (Dallas) Wingz?
05/28 9:00 PM: Will the (Indiana) Fever WIN against (Golden State) Valkeries?
05/29 6:30 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against (New York) Liberty?
05/30 12:00 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against (Toronto) Tempo?
06/01 7:00 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against (Dallas) Wingz?
06/06 12:00 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against (Minnesota) Lynx?
06/06 2:00 PM: Will the (Golden State) Valkyries WIN against (Las Vegas) Aces?
06/06 5:00 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics WIN against (Atlanta) Dream?
06/06 7:00 PM: Will the (Indiana) Fever WIN against (New York) Liberty?
06/07 2:00 PM: Will the (Chicago) Sky WIN against (Toronto) Tempo?
06/07 6:00 PM: Will the (Portland) Fire WIN against (Los Angeles) Sparks?
06/08 9:00 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against (Las Vegas) Aces?
06/09 7:00 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wingz WIN against (Minnesota) Lynx?
06/09 9:00 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against (Golden State) Valkyries?
06/10 6:00 PM: Will the (Connecticut) Suns WIN against (Toronto) Tempo?
06/11 7:00 PM: Will the (Chicago) Sky WIN against (Indiana) Fever?
06/12 7:30 PM: Will the (Toronto) Tempo WIN against (Washington) Mystics?
06/13 8:00 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx WIN against (Las Vegas) Aces?
06/13 8:30 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wingz WIN against (Portland) Fire?
06/14 3:00 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics WIN against (New York) Liberty?
06/15 8:00 PM: Will the (Vegas) Aces WIN against (Dallas) Wingz?
06/15 8:00 PM: Will the (Portland) Fire WIN against (Minnesota) Lynx?
06/15 10:00 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Sparks WIN against (Golden State) Valkyries?
06/17 10:00 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wingz WIN against (Golden State) Valkyries?
06/17 10:00 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against (Portland) Fire?
06/20 1:00 PM: Will the (Indiana) Fever WIN against (Atlanta) Deam?
06/20 3:00 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against (Phoenix) Mercury?
06/20 8:00 PM: Will the (Chicago) Sky WIN against (Dallas) Wingz?
06/21 4:00 PM: Will the (Golden State) Valkyries WIN against (Las Vegas) Aces?
06/21 8:00 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty WIN against (Los Angeles) Sparkss?
06/22 7:00 PM: Will the (Chicago) Sky WIN against (Chicago) Sun?
06/22 7:30 PM: Will the (Toronto) Tempo WIN against (Atlanta) Dream?
06/22 8:00 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against (Indiana) Fever?
06/24 8:00 PM: Will the (Portland) Fire WIN against (Chicago) Sky?
06/24 10:00 PM: Will the (Atlanta) Dream WIN against (Golden State) Valkyries?
06/25 7:00 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Sparks WIN against (Toronto) Tempo?
06/25 10:00 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wingz WIN against (Las Vegas) Aces?
06/25 10:00 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty WIN against (Seattle) Storm?
06/26 7:30 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics WIN against (Connecticut) Sun?
06/26 10:00 PM: Will the (Atlanta Dream) WIN against (Golden State) Valkyries?
06/26 7:30 PM: Will the (Portland) Fire WIN against (Chicago) Sky?
06/28 3:00 PM: Will the (Portland) Fire WIN against (Washington) Mystics?
06/28 7:00 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty WIN against (Golden State) Valkyries?
06/30 7:00 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces WIN against (New York) Liberty?
07/02 7:30 PM: Will the (Atlanta) Dream WIN against (Washington) Mystics?
07/03 7:30 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx WIN against (New York) Liberty?
07/03 10:00 PM: Will the (Chicago) Sky WIN against (Las Vegas) Aces?
07/10 10:00 PM: Will the (Chicago) Sky WIN against (Los Angeles) Sparks?
07/11 1:00 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty WIN against (Minnesota) Lynx?
07/11 6:00 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against (Las Vegas) Aces?
07/12 3:00 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty WIN against (Toronto) Tempo?
07/13 7:00 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Sparks WIN against (Atlanta) Dream?
07/15 12:00 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against (Chicago) Sky?
07/17 7:30 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against (Indiana) Fever?
07/17 7:30 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Sparks WIN against (Chicago) Sky?
07/19 1:00 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Sparks WIN against (Dallas) Wingz?
07/19 4:00 PM: Will the (Chicago) Sky WIN against (Atlanta) Dream?
07/19 7:00 PM: Will the (Connecticut) Sun WIN against (Phoenix) Mercury?
07/28 7:30 PM: Will the (Connecticut) Sun WIN against (Washington) Mystics?
07/28 8:00 PM: Will the (Toronto) Tempo WIN against (Minnesota) Lynx?
07/28 10:00 PM: Will the (Portland) Fire WIN against (Las Vegas) Aces?
07/29 10:00 PM: Will the (Golden State) Valkyries WIN against (Phoenix) Mercury?
07/30 8:00 PM: Will the (Connecticut) Sun WIN against (Chicago) Sky?
07/30 10:00 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty WIN against (Las Vegas) Aces?
07/31 7:30 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against (Atlanta) Dream?
07/31 7:30 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wingz WIN against (Washington) Mystics?
08/01 1:00 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces WIN against (Chicago) Sky?
08/02 1:00 PM: Will the (Indiana) Fever WIN against (Minnesota) Lynx?
08/02 7:00 PM: Will the (Connecitcut) Sun WIN against (Dallas) Wingz?
08/02 8:30 PM: Will the (Toronto) Tempo WIN against (Golden State) Valkyries?
08/03 7:00 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against (New York) Liberty?
08/04 10:00 PM: Will the (Toronto) Tempo WIN against (Golden State) Valkyries?
08/05 7:00 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against (Atlanta) Dream?
08/05 7:00 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against (New York) Liberty?
08/05 7:00 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wingz WIN against (Washington) Mystics?
08/05 9:00 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Sparks WIN against (Chicago) Sky?
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
99
99
70
64
50
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
The site has content before June 1, 2026
The site has content before July 1, 2026
It contains at least some text
The site has content before January 1, 2027
It's completely stupid
It's about extraterrestrial life
contains debunked media of space alien activity
Documents declassified for the first time are on the site
Mention of Roswell on site
Mention of Area 51 on site
it's about immigration
Implies/suggests/states that UFO's are demons.
Is significantly geo-restricted, for example the content cannot be viewed in Europe or some USA states without using a VPN.
By May 1st, 2026, site contents unequivocally state UAP craft exist, but does not unequivocally state non-human intelligence exists
It's about mexicans
Contains AI images or video presented in a way that viewers are supposed to think they're real.
implies race supremacy/ethnocentrism is real (genetic/cultural/preordained)
It's an advert for a product a private company is selling, such as a movie.
The site has content before April 1, 2026
The site has content before May 1, 2026
There is a report that the registration is hacked or otherwise not deliberate by the government
It redirects to another domain before 12:00am EST May 1, 2026 (If no site before deadline, resolves NO.)
It's going to be used for an April fools joke.
It will have its own Wikipedia page by 5/1
It has a cookie consent banner/notice while viewed from any New York state VPN before 12:00am EST May 1, 2026 (If no site before deadline, resolves NO.)
The government, bored of just selling pardons, has moved on to selling ".gov" domain names to 3rd party private organisations and/or individuals, and this is one of those times.
contains debunked media of space alien activity [N/A – start of 2027]
Aliens.gov will be the primary domain
100
100
100
100
94
75
62
46
33
27
23
21
18
10
9
8
7
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
YES
NO
3730
802
OptionVotes
YES
NO
4842
207
OptionVotes
NO
YES
5270
1565
OptionProbability
Kathy Hochul
Other
93
7
OptionProbability
NYC
New York State
Anywhere in Israel
Somewhere in NJ
Jerusalem
The American Southwest
Bay Area
Quebec
79
71
57
39
32
29
27
21
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1332
751
OptionProbability
Tom DiNapoli
Drew Warshaw
Other
Raj Goyle
Adem Bunkedekko
85
6
6
1
1
OptionVotes
YES
NO
352
153
OptionVotes
NO
YES
146
99

