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Prediction markets for New York
Which car company will drive between New York to San Francisco without anyone in the drivers seat first?
Sep 9, 12:44 PMSep 16, 10:59 PM
7757085
OptionProbability
80
16
4
0
0
0
0
New York Times vs. OpenAI: Will the NYT win the Copyright Lawsuit on any count?
Dec 28, 1:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
41239715
OptionProbability
37
26
19
18
OptionProbability
92
8
0
Will Mamdani stop implementing policies that require all children in New York to learn Arabic numerals at an early age?
Nov 28, 9:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
3121224
OptionProbability
97
2
1
1
Will the New York Times (NYT) achieve a favorable outcome in its copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?
Dec 27, 9:24 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
79.55%chance
799213
OptionVotes
1428
958
Will at least five purely-AI-written books make it onto the New York Times fiction bestseller list before 2031?
May 16, 2:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
54.29%chance
354375
OptionVotes
1309
603
OptionVotes
4842
207
Will New York pass a law regulating AI giving professional advice (S-7263) in 2026?
Mar 6, 4:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
20.61%chance
272102
OptionVotes
1963
510
Will I be able to book a commercial electrical flight between London and New York in 2040?
Mar 7, 8:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
28.55%chance
411685
OptionVotes
1012
923
Will the New York Times positively cover Allan Lichtman’s 13 Keys prediction in 2028?
Sep 5, 7:19 PMNov 13, 7:59 AM
22.88%chance
71550
OptionVotes
1836
545
Will New York City still be in a legally declared rental housing emergency by April 1, 2030?
Feb 4, 6:49 PMApr 2, 3:59 AM
50.7%chance
4205
OptionVotes
1014
986
Will New York City still be in a legally declared rental housing emergency by April 1, 2033?
Feb 4, 6:50 PMApr 2, 3:59 AM
45.25%chance
2100
OptionVotes
1100
909




