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Prediction markets for New Zealand
What will be the outcome of the 2026 New Zealand General Election?
Jan 2, 2:49 AMOct 16, 11:59 PM
1314539
OptionProbability
47
45
5
4
Will Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held?
Feb 26, 8:10 AMNov 7, 10:59 AM
76%chance
213625
OptionVotes
1355
751
By 2030, will New Zealand 🇳🇿 have officially announced a name change for international relations to include Aotearoa?
Jul 31, 10:57 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM
15.66%chance
202781
OptionVotes
1715
770
OptionVotes
3164
540
Will New Zealand allow any nuclear bombs or nuclear reactors inside its territory before 2030?
Dec 12, 11:49 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
9.73%chance
272159
OptionVotes
2787
558
Will New Zealand Crown Research Institutes be centralised by 2026?
Jan 7, 11:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM
10.22%chance
22109
OptionVotes
2964
337
Will there be an earthquake causing at least 1 death in New Zealand by 2027?
Oct 22, 9:35 PMDec 31, 11:00 AM
14.37%chance
211634
OptionVotes
2083
601
OptionVotes
1778
796
New Zealand Labour forms a government in 2026 without requiring support from Te Pāti Māori
Mar 21, 5:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
24.68%chance
6855
OptionVotes
1747
572
OptionVotes
1455
894
OptionVotes
1248
966
Will New Zealand politics be significantly radicalised in 5 years?
Sep 11, 4:53 PMSep 11, 4:51 PM
40.51%chance
5310
OptionVotes
1212
825