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Prediction markets for Nord

Is a NATO-aligned or anti-Russian entity responsible for the Nord Stream attack?

Oct 1, 6:02 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

96.62%chance

15546493

OptionVotes

NO

YES

13433

810

Who blew up the Nord Stream 2 pipeline?

Aug 20, 8:30 PMAug 28, 6:59 AM

13120793

OptionProbability

Ukraine 🇺🇦

Poland

Vladimir Zhuravlev

USA 🇺🇸

Non-State Actors 🏴‍☠️

Norway 🇳🇴

UK 🇬🇧

NATO 🧭

Poland and Ukraine

China 🇨🇳

France 🇫🇷

Germany 🇩🇪

Russia 🇷🇺

70

65

50

44

39

24

13

13

13

12

7

6

5

Was a western-aligned party (such as the US or Ukraine) responsible for the Nord Stream attack?

Oct 3, 9:40 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

93.99%chance

152043

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2846

757

[Glimt] Will Russian gas supplies resume through the Nord Stream pipelines in 2025?

Jan 16, 7:03 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

13.68%chance

101762

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2512

398

Private New Year's Eve Fireworks possible in Germany?

Jul 1, 10:57 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

3160

OptionProbability

2025

2026

2027

2028

95

90

76

66

Will Lars Fruergaard Jørgensen (CEO of Novo Nordisk) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Mar 28, 12:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.54%chance

5143

OptionVotes

YES

NO

257

93

Framework for a Nordic Confederation before EOY2028? (see description)

May 30, 9:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.62%chance

375

OptionVotes

YES

NO

175

57

Will Novo Nordisk sue Hims by the end of the year?

Jun 28, 5:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51%chance

329

OptionVotes

NO

YES

102

98

Should I read Van Norden/Ivanhoe/Tiwald's Readings in Classical Chinese+Later Chinese Philosophy?

Jun 6, 9:24 PM

30

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