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Top stories

Qatar Officially Bids to Host 2036 Summer Olympics in Doha as First Middle East Host, Faces Chile Competition and Rights Criticism

Qatar Officially Bids to Host 2036 Summer Olympics in Doha as First Middle East Host, Faces Chile Competition and Rights Criticism

Authors

12

11 days ago

Prediction markets for North Africa

Will a country in sub-Saharan Africa be declared malaria-free by the WHO before 2030?

Jan 25, 10:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35.03%chance

17964

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1092

938

Which regions will become more authoritarian in 2025?

Mar 1, 9:00 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

6221

OptionProbability

North America

Asia and Australasia

Eastern Europe and Central Asia

Sub-Saharan Africa

Western Europe

Latin America and the Caribbean

Middle East and North Africa

95

90

66

66

63

46

34

Will any country leave the 1967 protocol of the Geneva convention on refugees by dec 31st 2026?

Nov 26, 8:32 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

27.97%chance

5122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

301

187

Will a full game of "The Campaign for North Africa, The Desert War, 1940–43" ever be played?

Sep 8, 9:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

71.51%chance

260

OptionVotes

NO

YES

158

63

Will a middle spotted woodpecker be seen in Britain by the end of 2030?

Apr 8, 2:19 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM

57.68%chance

643

OptionVotes

NO

YES

158

143

Will a pygmy cormorant be seen in Britain by the end of 2030?

Apr 8, 2:19 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM

49.17%chance

26

OptionVotes

NO

YES

90

90

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