North Atlantic News

Tropical Storm Fernand Forms in Atlantic, Sixth 2025 Storm, Passes East of Bermuda with No Threat to U.S.

3 months ago

What will be the dominant unit of economic power used by humans in 2040?

Nov 4, 4:21 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

7139573

OptionProbability

US Dollar (USD)*

Chinese Renminbi (CNY)*

Euro (EUR)*

Bitcoin (BTC)*

Unit of Computation (FLOP/IOP, etc.)

Energy-based Unit (Joule/Wh, etc.)

Ethereum (ETH)*

Gold (Au)

Reputation-based Currency (e.g., Whuffie points)

Emission-Linked Financial Instrument (e.g., carbon coin)

Worldcoin (WLD)*

Paperclips

Utilitarian Value-based Currency (DALY, QALY, dead children, etc.)

TRUMP

Manifold Mana

Will NATO article 5 (collective Defense) be instigated before the end of 2025?

Dec 15, 1:51 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

3.04%chance

2710767

OptionVotes

YES

5647

177

Will the North Atlantic Current collapse before 2030?

Jul 29, 11:00 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

10.51%chance

266269

OptionVotes

YES

1865

833

NATO joins USA-Iran conflict before 2026?

Jun 22, 10:25 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

5.64%chance

284709

OptionVotes

YES

4091

244

Will the US withdraw from NATO at anytime during Trump's presidency?

Mar 1, 3:14 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

17.45%chance

544532

OptionVotes

YES

237

Which international organizations or agreements will the United States leave before 2029?

Jan 22, 1:22 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

213780

OptionProbability

Paris Climate Agreement

United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO)

World Health Organization (WHO)

United Nations Human Rights Council (UNHRC)

United Nations Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA)

World Trade Organization (WTO)

North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)

International Labour Organization (ILO)

Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO)

Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)

World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO)

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

World Bank

International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)

United Nations (UN)

International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO)

Is the Gulf Stream going to collapse before 2030

Aug 5, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.91%chance

151990

OptionVotes

YES

1423

938

Will the North Atlantic right whale be considered functionally extinct before 2040?

Jun 12, 4:48 PMDec 12, 11:59 PM

75.49%chance

20452

OptionVotes

YES

1041

800

When will the next Elfstedentocht be?

Jan 30, 5:09 PMMay 1, 9:59 PM

19441

OptionProbability

A natural ice skating race is held under the name "Elfstedentocht" before 2050, but it doesn't happen between the original eleven cities

Before May 2050

The organing association disbands without replacement before any more are held

Before May 2042

An elfstedentocht is held using artificially produced ice before 2050

Before May 2035

Before May 2029

Will the North Atlantic Right Whale (Eubalaena glacialis) become extinct in the current century?

Apr 22, 8:38 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

86.77%chance

5364

OptionVotes

YES

802

402

NATO stocks (Permanent)

Nov 27, 11:09 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

10311

OptionProbability

YES

336

150

Which letter will get a two letter word in Scrabble first, C or V? (North American Word List)

Sep 22, 7:03 AMSep 30, 6:59 AM

475

OptionProbability

Simultaneous

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What will be the dominant unit of economic power used by humans in 2040?

Will NATO article 5 (collective Defense) be instigated before the end of 2025?

Will the North Atlantic Current collapse before 2030?

NATO joins USA-Iran conflict before 2026?

Will the US withdraw from NATO at anytime during Trump's presidency?

Which international organizations or agreements will the United States leave before 2029?

Is the Gulf Stream going to collapse before 2030

Will the North Atlantic right whale be considered functionally extinct before 2040?

When will the next Elfstedentocht be?

Will the North Atlantic Right Whale (Eubalaena glacialis) become extinct in the current century?

NATO stocks (Permanent)

Which letter will get a two letter word in Scrabble first, C or V? (North American Word List)

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