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Prediction markets for North India

Will any country that is not currently known to have nuclear weapons detonate a nuclear weapon in 2025? (Tests included)

Aug 12, 5:01 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

7.31%chance

153105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3561

281

Will there be a new(ly) major war involving a nuclear power before the end of 2025?

Aug 12, 9:34 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

17.93%chance

132876

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2139

467

New sovereign nuclear state by EOY2027?

Jun 11, 1:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

92756

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4114

2467

Will a new nuclear-armed state emerge before 2030?

Mar 17, 10:40 PMJan 1, 7:00 PM

61.99%chance

562124

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1235

806

Will any country that is not currently known to have nuclear weapons detonate a nuclear weapon in 2026? (Tests included)

Jun 29, 8:40 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

11.84%chance

41754

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2729

366

If North Korea tests a nuclear weapon, how many will they test?

Oct 17, 12:03 PMOct 31, 2:59 PM

7285

OptionProbability

Other

only 1

2

5

3

4

6

7

8

9

10

more than 10

43

22

9

8

4

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

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