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Prediction markets for Northern Europe

Will Rail Baltica be completed by the end of 2026?

Aug 13, 8:08 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

1%chance

135065

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5384

829

Will the Rock Dove, a.k.a. Common Pigeon (Columba livia) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 27, 7:31 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

3.14%chance

102712

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2596

295

Where will the next Pokémon region be inspired by?

Apr 24, 6:27 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

101589

OptionProbability

South-East Asia

Southern Europe (Iberian Peninsula, Italy, Balkans, Greece)

Oceania

South Asia

North America

Middle East & Northern Africa

East Asia

Mexico / Central America / Caribbean

Western Europe (France to Poland)

Sub-Saharan Africa

South America

Eastern Europe / Central Asia (Former USSR)

Northern Europe (Nordics and British Isles)

45

36

13

12

11

11

11

10

10

10

9

9

7

Will the Reindeer, a.k.a. Karibou (Rangifer tarandus) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 27, 9:46 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

6.61%chance

51242

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1382

356

Will the Red Deer (Cervus elaphus) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 26, 8:43 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7.49%chance

7717

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1216

354

Will the Northern Raccoon, aka Common Raccoon (Procyon lotor) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 28, 9:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

12.22%chance

5317

OptionVotes

YES

NO

815

397

Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027

Sep 11, 4:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

63.06%chance

8279

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

103

Will the Wolverine (Gulo gulo) become extinct in the current century?

Apr 29, 6:57 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

16.76%chance

3245

OptionVotes

YES

NO

742

412

Will any European Country make a transition to an exclusive democracy by 2039 (Rare event market)

Feb 27, 10:06 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

65%chance

4145

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1108

924

Will the population of Europe and Northern America (combined) exceed 1.15 billion this century?

Nov 2, 1:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

43.65%chance

445

OptionVotes

YES

NO

112

108

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