Northern Hemisphere News
Prediction markets for Northern Hemisphere
What traits will Google's next CEO have (many traits for you to bet on!)
Feb 23, 7:21 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
939706
OptionProbability
97
90
90
87
84
84
84
83
71
70
69
68
65
62
62
61
58
57
56
55
53
52
52
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
49
46
46
46
45
45
44
44
43
43
40
40
38
37
37
37
36
35
35
33
32
32
31
30
29
29
29
29
29
28
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28
28
27
27
27
27
25
24
23
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22
22
22
19
19
18
18
17
17
17
17
16
15
15
13
13
11
10
9
8
7
3
3
2
2
2
Will 10-day out weather forecasting reach 60% accuracy before 2029?
Oct 10, 5:11 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
75.2%chance
545933
OptionVotes
1645
605
OptionProbability
75
66
60
57
50
49
43
43
35
34
34
31
31
31
31
31
27
[Metaculus] Will 10-day out weather forecasting reach 60% accuracy before 2029?
Oct 15, 5:13 PMJan 2, 6:00 PM
74.52%chance
10315
OptionVotes
285
64
Will someone successfully introduce a breeding population of feral penguins (>10) in the Northern Hemisphere by 2035?
Jun 5, 3:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
25%chance
5200
OptionVotes
155
86
Which European countries will deploy naval vessels to the Pacific in 2026 and/or 2027?
Jan 13, 4:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
2103
OptionProbability
100
100
100
76
72
71
50
50
50
43
36
34
31
24
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