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Prediction markets for Northern Territory

Will the Cape declare independence before 2030?

Sep 23, 1:40 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

6.51%chance

2931047

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2125

819

Will Ireland be invaded by the UK before 2030 in the event of a Sinn Fein Taoiseach in next elections

May 11, 10:15 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

2.89%chance

334645

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2902

834

Will there be a civil war in Britain before the end of 2029

Aug 5, 10:47 AMDec 30, 4:59 PM

11.64%chance

314511

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2755

363

Will the UK acquire a fusion reactor before 2031?

Feb 18, 12:56 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

23.4%chance

181345

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1046

724

Will the Australian Nationals merge with Australian Liberal party on a federal level, before 2026?

Feb 18, 11:53 AMDec 31, 1:59 PM

1%chance

41001

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

10

Which of the following independence movements will be successful before 2030?

Feb 10, 9:12 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

11743

OptionProbability

Bougainville

Somaliland

Western Sahara / SADR

Transnistria

Kurdistan (any)

Scotland

76

73

35

29

23

18

Where will the team that gets the 20th AFL license be based?

Jul 12, 11:50 AMJan 2, 12:30 PM

14617

OptionProbability

The Northern Territory

South Australia

Western Australia

The Australian Capital Territory

New Zealand

Queensland

Somewhere Else

New South Wales

38

24

13

12

4

4

3

2

If the US defends Taiwan from Chinese invasion, will there be Chinese strikes on American soil?

Dec 18, 2:52 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

11386

OptionProbability

Yes - Contiguous United States

Yes - Pacific Territories

Yes - Hawaii and Alaska

No

84

74

55

20

Will the Northern Territory of Australia become a state by 2040?

Mar 12, 6:46 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

15.75%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

290

78

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