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Prediction markets for NY

Who will win the NY-12 Congressional District (add answers!)

Sep 6, 7:12 PMNov 6, 11:59 PM

3214607

OptionProbability

Micah Lasher

Alex Bores

Jack Schlossberg

George Conway

Liam Elkind

Erik Bottcher

Keith Powers

Cameron Kasky

41

35

17

5

3

2

2

1

AI races: Will Alex Bores be the 2026 Democratic candidate for NY-12?

Oct 20, 2:38 PMNov 6, 11:59 PM

40.85%chance

4411501

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12666

6775

Who will be the 2026 Democratic candidate for NY-12?

Sep 3, 5:24 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

446615

OptionProbability

Micah Lasher

Alex Bores

Jack Schlossberg

George Conway

Eric Bottcher

Other

Andrew Cuomo

Cameron Kasky

Liam Elkind

40

38

14

3

2

2

1

0

0

Will Kathy Hochul complete her current term in office as Governor of NY?

Oct 13, 11:08 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

95.12%chance

242792

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3378

720

NY Times runs an article or editorial suggesting renaming The White House

Jan 9, 4:20 AMMay 16, 6:59 AM

12.24%chance

311788

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1876

801

72-hour NY-LA train route debuts by May 11, 2026?

Aug 2, 4:25 PMMay 11, 11:59 PM

1.21%chance

131235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

905

11

Who wins 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?

Dec 23, 6:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7177

OptionProbability

Adriano Espaillat

Darializa Avila Chevalier

Other

62

35

3

Dan Goldman loses his primary in NY-10?

Jan 6, 12:52 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

76%chance

7102

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

83

Will Sticker Mule CEO Anthony Constantino win the NY-21 Republican Primary?

Feb 24, 1:21 PMJun 23, 11:59 PM

51.31%chance

390

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1196

1052

Will there still be a bubble tea shop in NY Penn Station at the end of 2026?

Nov 15, 5:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

70%chance

770

OptionVotes

NO

YES

153

65

When will Carlos Mendoza be fired as NY Mets manager?

Apr 27, 12:16 AMJan 2, 1:10 AM

361

OptionProbability

After the 2026 season ends

He will not be fired — his contract option will be exercised for 2027

After the All-Star break, but before the last game of the 2026 season

After May but before the All-Star break

Before May 2026

30

24

23

16

7

Will I change my place of residence to somewhere other than NJ or NY before 2030?

Jan 28, 5:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.5%chance

561

OptionVotes

YES

NO

147

68

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