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Prediction markets for NYSE

Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2025?

Dec 31, 5:01 AMDec 30, 7:00 PM

3320640

OptionProbability

5900

6000

6100

6200

6300

6400

6500

6600

6700

6800

6900

7000

7100

7200

7400

7500

8300

7600

7700

7800

7300

7900

8000

8100

8200

8400

8500

8600

8700

8800

8900

9000

100

100

100

100

100

100

89

60

35

19

16

14

7

7

7

7

7

6

6

6

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

3

3

3

2

2

Level 1 circuit breaker is tripped on the NYSE before December 31, 2025

Apr 3, 11:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.41%chance

5710936

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2105

475

Will the TXSE (Texas Stock Exchange) be seen as a viable alternative to the NYSE/Nasdaq by 2028?

Jun 5, 2:17 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

15.13%chance

313057

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2369

422

Will TSLA reach $ 700 by the end of 2026

Dec 10, 4:20 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

23.22%chance

191689

OptionVotes

YES

NO

182

55

Major Berkshire Hathaway subsidiary becomes independent corporation before 2027

Oct 9, 1:04 PMDec 31, 4:01 PM

5.63%chance

101087

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1541

900

Alibaba $BABA delisted from NYSE in 2025?

Apr 16, 2:23 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

2.88%chance

9554

OptionVotes

YES

NO

581

17

What will Medifast (NYSE:MED) closing stock price be at the end of 2025?

Aug 29, 1:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3196

OptionProbability

$10-$15

$15-$20

<$10

$20-$25

>$25

39

30

13

10

4

Will the New York Stock Exchange NYSE offer 24/7 trading on at least 10 stocks by the end of 2025?

May 8, 7:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.52%chance

11126

OptionVotes

NO

YES

109

91

Will Daniel Zhang (CEO of Alibaba) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Apr 27, 2:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.48%chance

6125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

217

97

Will COIN reach $ 700 by the end of 2026

Dec 11, 5:40 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

18.2%chance

3112

OptionVotes

YES

NO

212

47

Will Newsmax IPO on the NYSE by the end of 2026?

Mar 14, 2:42 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48.29%chance

347

OptionVotes

YES

NO

103

97

Will Ethereum have easily tradeable tokenized NYSE stocks by end of 2030?

Dec 16, 3:16 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

54.75%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

55

45

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