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Prediction markets for NZ
Which Party will win the Mt Albert electorate in the 2026 NZ General election?
Jul 20, 5:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
728800
OptionProbability
97
1
1
1
Which parties will exceed their 2023 party vote in the 2026 NZ Election?
Jan 29, 1:41 AMNov 25, 1:41 AM
914873
OptionProbability
99
99
99
99
98
2
2
Will National recieve more party vote than Greens, ACT and NZ first combined in the 2026 NZ election?
Jan 29, 2:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
5.5%chance
146499
OptionVotes
4428
320
Will The Opportunities Party get a higher party vote percent than any of ACT, NZ First or greens?
Sep 1, 9:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
4.87%chance
86497
OptionVotes
4635
422
Will Nicola Willis get back to Parliament after the 2026 NZ election?
Sep 28, 7:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
1.1%chance
144812
OptionVotes
4054
15
Will a new party be elected to NZ Parliament by 2030?
Nov 6, 10:25 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM
91.65%chance
264516
OptionVotes
2600
108
Will Labour and National combined receive 60.00% or more of the party vote in the 2026 NZ election?
Oct 6, 2:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
5.46%chance
63880
OptionVotes
4162
240
Will Opportunity party get 9.000% or more of the party vote in the 2026 NZ general election?
Sep 4, 3:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
5.28%chance
63806
OptionVotes
4234
236
Will the party with the most seats supply the prime minister after the 2026 NZ Election?
Jan 29, 1:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
71.91%chance
6828
OptionVotes
419
160
If Labour wins the 2026 NZ general election, they are dependent on support from Te Pāti Māori to govern
Mar 21, 5:34 PMNov 21, 11:59 PM
66.37%chance
8523
OptionVotes
1405
712
NZ election: Labour v National, Who gets higher % of Party List Vote
Oct 18, 8:32 AMDec 19, 11:59 PM
3276
OptionProbability
81
19
OptionProbability
52
48