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Top stories

New Zealand Returns to Trade Deficit as Swiss Surplus Narrows in July

New Zealand Returns to Trade Deficit as Swiss Surplus Narrows in July

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1 year ago

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New Zealand Boosts Defence With NZ$2.7 Billion Helicopter and Jet Order

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14

1 year ago

SkyCity CEO Jason Walbridge Plans NZ$200 Million Asset Sales, Retains Hotels; NZ Retail Sales Up 0.5% Q2, PM Luxon Supports RBNZ Cut

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1 year ago

Company Earnings

SkyCity Eyes NZ$200 Million Asset Sales to Meet Debt Covenants

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Prediction markets for NZ

Which Party will win the Mt Albert electorate in the 2026 NZ General election?

Jul 20, 5:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

410646

OptionProbability

Labour - Helen White

National - Melissa Lee

Opportunity - Qiulae Wong

Other

48

25

24

3

Will Christopher Luxon lead the NZ National Party to the next election (probably 2026)?

Jan 24, 6:49 AMOct 14, 11:00 AM

91.51%chance

3010239

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1848

851

Will Chris Hipkins lead the NZ Labour Party to the next election (probably 2026)?

Jan 24, 6:49 AMOct 14, 11:00 AM

89.51%chance

278480

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2725

206

Will a new party be elected to NZ Parliament by 2030?

Nov 6, 10:25 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

86.32%chance

263759

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2186

158

Which parties will exceed their 2023 party vote in the 2026 NZ Election?

Jan 29, 1:41 AMNov 25, 1:41 AM

63323

OptionProbability

Will Opportunity get more than 2.22%?

Will New Zealand First get more than 6.08%?

Will Labour get more than 26.91%?

Will Greens get more than 11.60%

Will ACT get more than 8.64%?

Will Te Pati Maori get more than 3.08%?

Will National get more than 38.06%?

98

87

80

59

56

10

5

Will Opportunity party get 9.000% or more of the party vote in the 2026 NZ general election?

Sep 4, 3:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.38%chance

52116

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2544

393

Will National recieve more party vote than Greens, ACT and NZ first combined in the 2026 NZ election?

Jan 29, 2:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.33%chance

101787

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1046

1017

Will The Opportunities Party get a higher party vote percent than any of ACT, NZ First or greens?

Sep 1, 9:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.16%chance

61632

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1024

987

Who Will be Deputy Prime Minister after the 2026 NZ election?

Jan 25, 11:11 PMNov 21, 11:11 PM

2988

OptionProbability

Chloe Swabrick

Other

Winston Peters

David Seymour

Carmel Sepuloni

Nicola Willis

25

22

21

20

8

4

Will the party with the most seats supply the prime minister after the 2026 NZ Election?

Jan 29, 1:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.69%chance

3675

OptionVotes

YES

NO

464

80

Who will I party vote for in the 2026 NZ General Election?

Jan 25, 10:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12635

OptionProbability

Greens

Labour

The Opportunity Party

National

ACT

NZ First

Te Pati Maori

Other

59

20

13

2

2

2

2

2

If Labour wins the 2026 NZ general election, they are dependent on support from Te Pāti Māori to govern

Mar 21, 5:34 PMNov 21, 11:59 PM

64.4%chance

6463

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1345

744

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