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Prediction markets for Oran

Which public figures will outlive @Orangey?

Mar 6, 11:24 PMApr 21, 6:59 AM

152324

OptionProbability

Donald Trump

Vladimir Putin

Joe Biden

Buzz Aldrin

David Attenborough

Jimmy Carter

76

72

64

29

20

0

Orangie

Nov 13, 2:07 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

151128

OptionProbability

NO

YES

316

259

Will the Bornean Orangutan (Pongo pygmaeus) become extinct in the current century?

Feb 21, 4:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

28.58%chance

12560

OptionVotes

YES

NO

870

164

Will we have a way of increasing Orangutan intelligence and language capability to at least human level by 2030

Jul 18, 8:23 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

5.83%chance

10513

OptionVotes

YES

NO

404

148

Will the Tapanuli Orangutan (Pongo tapanuliensis) become extinct in the current century?

Feb 21, 5:09 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

77.36%chance

12272

OptionVotes

NO

YES

632

446

"Orange man crazy" a better prior than "nothing ever happens" at EOY 2025?

Apr 4, 1:38 AMJan 10, 11:59 PM

77.56%chance

16242

OptionVotes

NO

YES

186

54

Will @Orangey be late to pay back a loan?

Oct 21, 5:56 PMApr 13, 5:53 PM

27%chance

5179

OptionVotes

YES

NO

164

61

Will the wild population of the Bornean Orangutan (Pongo pygmaeus) become extinct by 2100?

Mar 3, 10:01 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

65.67%chance

4150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

508

458

Will the Best Animal be one of (Elephant, Orca, Wooly Mammoth, Orangutan)

Dec 14, 7:58 PMDec 15, 7:58 PM

86.63%chance

6149

OptionVotes

YES

NO

103

74

How delayed will the CMRL's( Chennai Metro Rail Limited ) Phase 2 Orange line before it is fully operational ?

Jun 4, 1:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.89%chance

3106

OptionProbability

NO

YES

325

126

Will São Paulo Metro Line 6 (Orange) be operational by 2026?

Dec 17, 8:39 PMJan 2, 2:59 AM

25.36%chance

551

OptionVotes

YES

NO

118

43

Will the NZ Electoral Commission still use the Orange Guy in 2038?

May 10, 7:09 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

52.84%chance

550

OptionVotes

NO

YES

121

98

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