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Prediction markets for over

Will there be over 1000 Optimus robots working at Tesla before 2026?

Jun 16, 9:26 AMDec 31, 1:29 PM

10.4%chance

15572946

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2936

341

Will my startup Retis Labs become a unicorn, over 1 billion USD market cap, before the the end of 2026?

Jul 5, 6:19 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.41%chance

4350042

OptionVotes

YES

NO

20781

8355

Will Argentina's year-over-year inflation be below 30% for December 2025?

Jan 23, 12:04 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

61.19%chance

4949604

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12750

7764

Will over 100,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?

Jan 13, 7:15 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

49.57%chance

13343186

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11734

11213

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?

Aug 13, 11:21 AMAug 20, 7:59 PM

62.71%chance

5942124

OptionVotes

NO

YES

129674

77116

If AI wipes out humanity will everyone on Earth fall over dead in the same second?

Feb 27, 7:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.7%chance

14336408

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5405

1263

Apple announces AI company purchase for over $500m by end of 2025

Jan 3, 3:01 AMJan 1, 1:00 AM

44%chance

18328580

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6251

3506

Will TSLA outperform the S&P 500 over 2025?

Feb 11, 4:09 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10.88%chance

335812

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2862

349

Will there be >20% semiconductor-specific tariffs lasting over a month by the end of 2025?

Aug 2, 10:11 PMDec 31, 7:00 AM

42.29%chance

355560

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11318

10608

Will Tesla deliver over 2 million vehicles in the calendar year 2025?

Feb 29, 3:38 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

1%chance

193426

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1039

6

There would be an NBA player over 8ft tall by 2045

Aug 5, 11:13 PMAug 13, 4:59 AM

30%chance

3625

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1528

655

based on my taste in music, recommend to me an album, any album that gets over 10 points resolves to YES

Oct 21, 4:13 PMApr 16, 8:59 PM

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