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Prediction markets for Pal

Will the death toll in the current Israel-Palestinian conflict reach 100,000?

Oct 22, 5:33 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

55.04%chance

5819967

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1362

432

Will Israel annex part of Palestine by the end of 2025?

Nov 17, 10:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17.8%chance

4415689

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2149

465

Will Finland recognize a state of Palestine before 2030

May 22, 4:40 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

39.07%chance

9514945

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1251

807

USITC makes positive preliminary injury determination in Russian unwrought palladium antidumping case?

Aug 13, 10:46 AMDec 31, 11:42 AM

80.35%chance

710835

OptionVotes

NO

YES

20219

4946

Will Germany recognize the State of Palestine within 2 years of Ireland, Norway and Spain?

May 28, 3:20 PMMay 29, 8:59 PM

6.55%chance

428986

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4375

230

Did the IDF bury hundreds of Palestinian civilians in mass graves near Nasser and Al-Shifa hospitals?

Apr 24, 2:46 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

27.33%chance

695805

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2438

2205

Will Palestine be fully recognized as a United Nations member state by the end of 2027?

Apr 18, 8:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12.62%chance

404489

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3475

1633

Will the State of Palestine hold a fair presidential election by 2030?

Apr 21, 1:37 PMDec 31, 10:00 PM

23.43%chance

724123

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1559

1006

Will Britain officially recognise Palestine as a state? 🇬🇧🇵🇸

Jan 31, 8:10 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

87.59%chance

553771

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2257

128

Will a significant number of Palestinians from Gaza be permanently resettled in Egypt and/or Jordan under Trump's term?

Jan 30, 10:03 PMJan 20, 6:59 PM

13.87%chance

272894

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2191

100

Will Palmer Luckey ever walk on the Moon?

Apr 18, 1:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

26.55%chance

16663

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1116

914

Will the IDF fight against Abu Shabab (a Palestinian militia they supplied with weapons) by the end of 2026?

Jun 5, 10:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.67%chance

6315

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1325

770

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