OptionProbability
Brian Goldsmith (Democratic)
John Erickson (Democratic)
Mike Newhouse (Democratic)
Sion Roy (Democratic)
Nico Ruderman
Zennon Ulyate-Crow
Other
Eric Alegria (Democratic)
Ellen Evans (Democratic)
Brittany McKinley (Democratic)
Kristina Irwin (Republican)
33
19
14
7
5
4
3
2
None
Google
OpenPhil
OpenAI
Palisade
VARA
Anthropic
Lightcone
MIRI
Amazon (as a SWE-or-similar)
70
8
OptionVotes
NO
YES
155
65
109
92
1000