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Prediction markets for Park City

Will the Apple Vision Pro be worn in public in 2027?

Jun 6, 12:13 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

23.98%chance

807018

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3197

598

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

39.13%chance

74647

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12472

8018

Will any of the following ski resorts close before 2040: Solitude, Brighton, Alta, Snowbird, Park City, and Deer Valley

May 21, 12:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.33%chance

52898

OptionVotes

YES

NO

385

26

Where will I live in October 2026?

Apr 24, 6:30 PMOct 1, 12:00 AM

61834

OptionProbability

Other

Menlo Park, CA

Berkeley, CA

Stanford, CA

San Francisco, CA

Oakland, CA

Warren's Gore, VT

San Jose, CA

24

16

15

15

12

11

4

4

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 3

Apr 13, 3:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5799

OptionProbability

Tim Gaspar

Barri Worth Girvan

Christopher Robert Celona

Lehi White

Other

Jon Rawlings

39

24

23

5

5

3

Roadtrip: will I complete my trip and visit all 48 states?

Aug 2, 7:57 PMAug 1, 7:56 PM

69.01%chance

9702

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1492

670

Roadtrip: will I be gainfully employed in one year?

Aug 2, 7:59 PMAug 1, 7:58 PM

39%chance

7626

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1251

800

Will Waymo be available in Berkeley before Menlo Park?

Feb 9, 4:36 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

4.4%chance

10437

OptionVotes

YES

NO

466

21

Which acquired improv theatre will be dumped first?

Feb 11, 1:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1140

OptionProbability

iO

Second City

UCB

None, these will be the first-ever private equity acquisitions to thrive

32

32

32

3

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 9

May 23, 2:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3136

OptionProbability

Jose Ugarte

Estuardo Mazariegos

Martha Sánchez

Jorge Hernandez Rosas

Elmer Roldan

Jorge Nuno

Chris Martin

Michelle Washington

Other

Adriana Cabrera

32

12

11

11

10

8

5

4

4

3

Roadtrip: texas leg favorite city

May 2, 2:34 PMMay 16, 2:31 PM

370

OptionProbability

Texas (Austin)

Texas (Dallas)

Texas (Houston)

Oklahoma (Tulsa)

51

21

16

12

Will Georgism (aka land value taxes) get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 30, 6:11 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

29.01%chance

669

OptionVotes

YES

NO

242

153

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