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Prediction markets for Park City

Will the Apple Vision Pro be worn in public in 2027?

Jun 6, 12:13 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

16.92%chance

817531

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3762

454

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

34.52%chance

85947

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13772

7261

Will San Francisco voters pass the Prop G "reopen the Great Highway" ballot measure in 2026

Jul 23, 6:35 PMNov 4, 6:59 AM

19.74%chance

144583

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2016

496

Where will I live in October 2026?

Apr 24, 6:30 PMOct 1, 12:00 AM

153403

OptionProbability

Menlo Park, CA

Other

Berkeley, CA

Stanford, CA

San Francisco, CA

Oakland, CA

San Jose, CA

Warren's Gore, VT

70

8

6

6

5

3

2

0

Will any of the following ski resorts close before 2040: Solitude, Brighton, Alta, Snowbird, Park City, and Deer Valley

May 21, 12:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.33%chance

52898

OptionVotes

YES

NO

385

26

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 3

Apr 13, 3:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51279

OptionProbability

Tim Gaspar

Barri Worth Girvan

Christopher Robert Celona

Lehi White

Other

Jon Rawlings

74

18

3

2

2

1

Will SF Prop G to "reopen the Great Highway" LOSE by at least 20 percentage points

Aug 13, 3:57 PMNov 9, 8:00 AM

41.52%chance

5623

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1187

843

Who will win the California State Assembly 12th District Seat?

Jun 15, 4:58 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

4230

OptionProbability

Eric Lucan

Jackie Elward

Other

61

37

2

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 28th State Senate district

Jun 16, 8:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2170

OptionProbability

Lola Smallwood-Cuevas (incumbent)

Other

88

12

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 20th State Senate district

Jul 2, 3:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3155

OptionProbability

Caroline Menjivar (incumbent)

Other

87

13

Which acquired improv theatre will be dumped first?

Feb 11, 1:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1140

OptionProbability

iO

Second City

UCB

None, these will be the first-ever private equity acquisitions to thrive

32

32

32

3

Will Georgism (aka land value taxes) get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 30, 6:11 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

29.01%chance

669

OptionVotes

YES

NO

242

153

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