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Prediction markets for Park City

Will the Apple Vision Pro be worn in public in 2027?

Jun 6, 12:13 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

20.49%chance

817268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3447

526

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

39.13%chance

74647

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12472

8018

Will any of the following ski resorts close before 2040: Solitude, Brighton, Alta, Snowbird, Park City, and Deer Valley

May 21, 12:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.33%chance

52898

OptionVotes

YES

NO

385

26

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 3

Apr 13, 3:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51279

OptionProbability

Tim Gaspar

Barri Worth Girvan

Christopher Robert Celona

Lehi White

Other

Jon Rawlings

74

18

3

2

2

1

Roadtrip: will I be gainfully employed in one year?

Aug 2, 7:59 PMAug 1, 7:58 PM

33%chance

81122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1425

702

Will Waymo be available in Berkeley before Menlo Park?

Feb 9, 4:36 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

4.4%chance

10437

OptionVotes

YES

NO

466

21

Who will win the California State Assembly 12th District Seat?

Jun 15, 4:58 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

4230

OptionProbability

Eric Lucan

Jackie Elward

Other

61

37

2

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 20th State Senate district

Jul 2, 3:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3155

OptionProbability

Caroline Menjivar (incumbent)

Other

87

13

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 22nd State Senate district

Jul 7, 2:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3124

OptionProbability

Susan Rubio (incumbent)

Other

83

17

Will Georgism (aka land value taxes) get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 30, 6:11 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

29.01%chance

669

OptionVotes

YES

NO

242

153

Zohran Mamdani raps again

Jan 6, 4:15 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

13.46%chance

231

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

98

NYCFC's next head coach coaches first competitive match at Etihad Park

Nov 30, 10:32 PMMar 31, 12:00 AM

39.02%chance

125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

125

80

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