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Peninsula News

Will the US have an Asian president by 2041?

Sep 11, 8:33 AMDec 19, 4:59 AM

48.03%chance

271744

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1105

870

Where will the next Pokémon region be inspired by?

Apr 24, 6:27 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

101589

OptionProbability

South-East Asia

Southern Europe (Iberian Peninsula, Italy, Balkans, Greece)

Oceania

South Asia

North America

Middle East & Northern Africa

East Asia

Mexico / Central America / Caribbean

Western Europe (France to Poland)

Sub-Saharan Africa

South America

Eastern Europe / Central Asia (Former USSR)

Northern Europe (Nordics and British Isles)

45

36

13

12

11

11

11

10

10

10

9

9

7

Will there be a full-scale war between North Korea and South Korea by 2050?

Mar 31, 5:46 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

21.55%chance

231274

OptionVotes

NO

YES

984

933

Will South Korea withdraw from the NPT by 2026?

Apr 22, 4:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.75%chance

161070

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1062

940

Will a crossing of the Bab-el-Mandeb, between Yemen and Djibouti or Eritrea, have started construction by 2040?

Jul 4, 8:28 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

21.22%chance

13326

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1122

944

Will the Iberian Ibex, aka Iberian Wild Goat (Capra pyrenaica) become extinct in the current century?

Apr 12, 9:41 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

17.45%chance

4271

OptionVotes

YES

NO

727

410

Will a crossing of the Strait of Hormuz, between Iran and Oman or UAE, have started construction by 2040?

Jul 4, 8:36 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

26.38%chance

9265

OptionVotes

YES

NO

209

144

New SF Bay bridge any time through 2030

Sep 4, 9:02 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

23.59%chance

12248

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1044

971

Will there be another nation-wide blackout in Spain by 2027?

Jan 1, 2:38 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

14.22%chance

5235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

344

115

Will I be able to hail a driverless autonomous vehicle from Oakland to SF or back by the end of 2026?

Dec 15, 5:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.5%chance

10144

OptionVotes

YES

NO

147

68

Which positive news category will make 2026 world-wide headlines?

Dec 24, 4:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4102

OptionProbability

Geopolitics

Technology

Economy

Medical/Healthcare

Fundamental research

Environment and sustainability

Art and culture

Society

Disaster Relief / Humanitarian Aid

Space Exploration

Human Rights

76

76

75

74

50

50

50

50

50

34

34

Will an island or peninsula be named Tierra de Rincon?

Oct 6, 3:34 PM

20

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