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Peninsula News

Where will the next Pokémon region be inspired by?

Apr 24, 6:27 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

206527

OptionProbability

South-East Asia

Oceania

South Asia

Sub-Saharan Africa

North America

Mexico / Central America / Caribbean

South America

Northern Europe (Nordics and British Isles)

Eastern Europe / Central Asia (Former USSR)

Western Europe (France to Poland)

Southern Europe (Iberian Peninsula, Italy, Balkans, Greece)

Middle East & Northern Africa

East Asia

98

25

4

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will the US have an Asian president by 2041?

Sep 11, 8:33 AMDec 19, 4:59 AM

48.51%chance

301859

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1113

861

Will there be a full-scale war between North Korea and South Korea by 2050?

Mar 31, 5:46 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

21.55%chance

231274

OptionVotes

NO

YES

984

933

New SF Bay bridge any time through 2030

Sep 4, 9:02 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

11.53%chance

141198

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1994

784

Will South Korea withdraw from the NPT by 2026?

Apr 22, 4:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.73%chance

181092

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1064

940

When will Waymo cross any Bay bridge?

Feb 25, 4:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3348

OptionProbability

Before Jan 2030

Before Jul 2030

Before Jul 2029

Before Jan 2029

Before Jan 2028

Before Jul 2028

Before Jul 2027

Before Jan 2027

Before Jul 2026

95

95

90

85

80

80

69

50

26

Will a crossing of the Bab-el-Mandeb, between Yemen and Djibouti or Eritrea, have started construction by 2040?

Jul 4, 8:28 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

22.1%chance

15338

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1079

956

Will a crossing of the Strait of Hormuz, between Iran and Oman or UAE, have started construction by 2040?

Jul 4, 8:36 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

38.2%chance

13295

OptionVotes

NO

YES

174

146

Will the Iberian Ibex, aka Iberian Wild Goat (Capra pyrenaica) become extinct in the current century?

Apr 12, 9:41 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

17.45%chance

4271

OptionVotes

YES

NO

727

410

Will there be another nation-wide blackout in Spain by 2027?

Jan 1, 2:38 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

13.7%chance

6245

OptionVotes

YES

NO

354

113

Which positive news category will make 2026 world-wide headlines?

Dec 24, 4:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4102

OptionProbability

Geopolitics

Technology

Economy

Medical/Healthcare

Fundamental research

Environment and sustainability

Art and culture

Society

Disaster Relief / Humanitarian Aid

Space Exploration

Human Rights

76

76

75

74

50

50

50

50

50

34

34

Will an island or peninsula be named Tierra de Rincon?

Oct 6, 3:34 PM

20

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