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Pole News

How far will Armand Duplantis take the pole vault world record?

Aug 6, 11:10 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

105711

OptionProbability

>6.30

6.29

6.30

6.28

6.25 (record at time of market creation)

6.26

6.27

49

17

16

15

1

1

1

By 2050, will humans pump significant quantities of ocean water towards the poles to reduce leap seconds?

Mar 24, 5:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.67%chance

433889

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2845

900

Will pole dancing be recognized as an Olympic sport before 2033?

Jul 2, 2:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5.41%chance

141228

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1366

940

Will Russia be the de facto ruling power of the North Pole by 2027?

Dec 16, 2:08 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

12.52%chance

8832

OptionVotes

YES

NO

341

116

Overhead electric distribution still primarily built on wood poles in 50 years?

Apr 22, 7:49 PMApr 22, 11:59 PM

56.09%chance

11561

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1130

885

Will someone successfully introduce penguins to the north pole by mid 2031

Nov 2, 2:03 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

5%chance

5510

OptionVotes

YES

NO

409

60

[CAPTURE THE FLAG] Will anyone from the comments go to 78.903876, -42.498353? (North Pole)

Jul 9, 1:23 PMDec 8, 10:59 PM

7.37%chance

11447

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1151

959

Will someone successfully introduce polar bears to the south pole by mid 2031

Nov 2, 2:04 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

14.74%chance

15424

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1356

900

Will the north pole be ice free by 2030?

Jun 9, 5:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.47%chance

4153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

206

50

Which of the six mission themes will NASA's New Frontiers Five mission be selected from?

Apr 1, 6:31 AMSep 30, 3:59 PM

2147

OptionProbability

Saturn Atmospheric Probe

Comet Surface Sample Return

Io Observer

Lunar Geophysical Network

Lunar South Pole-Aitken Basin Sample Return

Enceladus Exploration

34

33

11

9

6

6

Which mission theme will NASA's New Frontiers Six mission be selected from?

Apr 1, 12:32 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

2138

OptionProbability

Centaur Orbiter and Lander

Ceres Sample Return

Comet surface sample return

Saturn probe

Enceladus multiple flyby

Io Observer

Lunar Geophysical Network

Titan orbiter

Venus In Situ Explorer

Lunar South Pole-Aitken Basin Sample Return

22

21

12

12

7

7

7

7

7

0

Will the Earths magnetic poles reverse before 2050?

Oct 15, 8:34 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

20.34%chance

7100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

249

108

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