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Prediction markets for power plant

Will the Diablo Canyon nuclear power plant be fully shut down at the end of 2025?

Aug 29, 2:06 PMJan 1, 6:00 AM

7.85%chance

162389

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2836

646

Will there be coal power plants for energy generation in Germany at the end of 2030?

Mar 26, 10:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

83.4%chance

232290

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1334

877

Will Microsoft successfully build a nuclear power plant before OpenAI claims to have AGI?

Jan 9, 5:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

36.5%chance

522073

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1051

865

Will Russia and China have an operational nuclear power plant on the moon by EOY 2040?

Mar 6, 1:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

25.08%chance

251348

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1211

900

Will Germany have a nuclear fission power plant again before fusion?

May 27, 7:34 PMMay 28, 7:19 PM

54.99%chance

211304

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11052

9048

Will the first SMR nuclear power plant in Poland produce energy before 2029?

Jan 31, 7:28 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

13.44%chance

161267

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1496

886

Will a new nuclear power plant be operational in Sweden by 2035?

Oct 14, 10:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50.09%chance

281126

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1216

683

Will a tech giant build a dedicated nuclear power plant for AI operations before 2040?

Sep 25, 8:51 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

76.04%chance

101092

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1782

561

Will any new Nuclear Power Plants start producing power in America by the end of 2029?

Sep 6, 4:42 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

67.43%chance

261032

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1357

756

A fusion power plant will generate a net 100 megawatt of electricity by the beginning of 2063

Mar 25, 3:44 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

73.32%chance

23863

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

945

Will unit 1 of the Three Mile Island nuclear power plant restart before 2029?

Sep 20, 1:31 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

63.4%chance

9578

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1316

760

Will there be a functional space-based solar power plant before 2045?

Nov 11, 4:05 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

41.79%chance

20180

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1004

987

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