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Prediction markets for PRC

When the PRC invades Taiwan will they preemptively attack US, British, Japanese, Kiwi, and/or Australian military/intelligence assets in the region?

Aug 8, 1:08 AMDec 15, 4:59 AM

41.25%chance

543032

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1379

426

Would US Destroy Taiwan’s Semiconductor Industries in the Event of Imminent PRC Control of the Island?

Mar 22, 1:50 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

39.1%chance

251344

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1043

905

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.21%chance

14835

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1015

943

Will Taiwan invade the PRC by 2050?

Aug 13, 8:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.5%chance

10634

OptionVotes

YES

NO

351

28

Will the US accuse the PRC of putting Taiwanese people into Concentration Camps any time through 2028?

Sep 11, 1:10 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

24.51%chance

9260

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

88

Bridge built connecting PRC and Taiwan (2023 territory) through 2040

Aug 27, 5:52 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18.78%chance

9176

OptionVotes

YES

NO

198

125

Will Hong Kong be an SAR of the PRC in 2050?

Nov 13, 3:26 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

35.16%chance

5136

OptionVotes

YES

NO

107

104

Will another member of the Central Military Commission of the PRC be removed from their position before Spring 2028?

Nov 2, 12:48 PMApr 1, 3:59 PM

75.24%chance

6101

OptionVotes

NO

YES

141

63

Will the PRC hold at least 100 American POW, ever, through 2029

Aug 28, 6:15 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

19.29%chance

691

OptionVotes

YES

NO

195

150

Will another State Councillor of the PRC be removed from their position before Spring 2028?

Nov 2, 12:14 PMApr 1, 3:59 PM

70.73%chance

377

OptionVotes

NO

YES

102

50

Will the PRC have a nationwide property tax by 2028?

May 12, 7:20 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

33.64%chance

475

OptionVotes

YES

NO

140

71

Will Hong Kong become a province of the PRC in 2047?

Nov 13, 3:31 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

53.19%chance

446

OptionVotes

YES

NO

94

83

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