Project Hope News

Will Canada's "Online News Act" (bill C-18) be amended or repealed by 2027?

Aug 10, 3:59 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

78.94%chance

73804

OptionVotes

YES

1009

985

Is Q* about solving maths problems?

Nov 27, 6:52 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

49.44%chance

253110

OptionVotes

YES

1171

787

130 Townsend, San Francisco 94107 redevelopment completed

May 19, 11:35 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

31700

OptionProbability

not before 2030

2027

2028

2029

2026

2025 or before

Will Worldcoin hit 100$ and if yes when will it happen ?

Dec 17, 7:14 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

181634

OptionProbability

No never

Yes by 2030

Yes by 2028

Yes by 2025

Will Alyssa Vance and Milo Nygren-Cassels have a baby?

Jan 2, 4:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

74.11%chance

221480

OptionVotes

YES

1016

981

Will the new porn-site age verification laws (US) survive in court?

Aug 10, 10:18 AMAug 11, 3:59 AM

90.05%chance

16646

OptionVotes

YES

377

Will Ilya Sutskever turn out to have been actively working in person and in contact w/OpenAI jan1-jan15 2024?

Jan 19, 5:56 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

19.93%chance

14535

OptionVotes

YES

1329

744

Will Charter Cities / Affinity Cities / Network States get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 29, 3:11 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

26.9%chance

10282

OptionVotes

YES

409

180

If the work between Anthropic and the colletiveintelligenceproject scales well, this will be on their constitution.

Jul 30, 4:32 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

1250

OptionProbability

Every person that can verify their humanity should have a secured private way to earn money for using their constitutions to train this one.

Having private access to earn a living by aligning AI is an important job that should be protected.

We should pause massive training runs.

On which of these platforms will I post content in 2025?

Nov 25, 10:12 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

7179

OptionProbability

Manifold

Effective Altruism Forum / LessWrong

Soundcloud / Spotify

DeviantArt / ArtStation

Substack / a personal website

Xitter / Mastodon / Bluesky

Facebook / Instagram / Threads

YouTube / TikTok

Pornhub / XVideos / OnlyFans / Literotica

100

Will an AI be able to impersonate players in Super Smash Bros. Melee before 2030?

Mar 27, 3:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

65.99%chance

10177

OptionVotes

YES

257

192

Will Georgism (aka land value taxes) get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 30, 6:11 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

29.01%chance

669

OptionVotes

YES

242

153

Project Hope News

Prediction markets for Project Hope

Prediction markets for Project Hope

Prediction markets for Project Hope

Will Canada's "Online News Act" (bill C-18) be amended or repealed by 2027?

Is Q* about solving maths problems?

130 Townsend, San Francisco 94107 redevelopment completed

Will Worldcoin hit 100$ and if yes when will it happen ?

Will Alyssa Vance and Milo Nygren-Cassels have a baby?

Will the new porn-site age verification laws (US) survive in court?

Will Ilya Sutskever turn out to have been actively working in person and in contact w/OpenAI jan1-jan15 2024?

Will Charter Cities / Affinity Cities / Network States get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

If the work between Anthropic and the colletiveintelligenceproject scales well, this will be on their constitution.

On which of these platforms will I post content in 2025?

Will an AI be able to impersonate players in Super Smash Bros. Melee before 2030?

Will Georgism (aka land value taxes) get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

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