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Top stories

Providence’s Viral ‘Nicest Judge’ Frank Caprio Dies at 88

Providence’s Viral ‘Nicest Judge’ Frank Caprio Dies at 88

Authors

63

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Providence

Will fusion provide >2% of US electrical power before 2050?

May 27, 9:10 PMDec 31, 7:11 PM

35.64%chance

7262178

OptionVotes

NO

YES

992

946

Will Tesla have more autonomous vehicles providing ridehailing than Waymo on Jan 2nd 2027

Jun 25, 10:30 AMJan 2, 11:59 PM

23%chance

9125281

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1831

547

Will the NWS stop providing weather forecasts before 2027?

Feb 4, 8:45 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

5.96%chance

219462

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7587

927

Will fusion provide >2% of US electrical power by 2100?

May 14, 11:00 PMDec 31, 7:11 PM

57.17%chance

19714

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1129

879

Will Apple provide private user data to the UK government before the end of 2027?

Feb 22, 3:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

47.55%chance

5697

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

952

Trump is suing the gov’t for the Mar-a-Lago raid. Will the FBI fail or refuse to provide subpoenaed communications?

Aug 13, 12:35 AMAug 13, 3:59 AM

55.24%chance

4400

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1111

900

Will Meta provide the content of a WhatsApp message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?

Jan 8, 2:50 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

56.57%chance

4317

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1141

876

China provides Russia >100k AI chips by 2030?

Oct 30, 12:17 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

53.68%chance

5220

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1145

982

Before 2029, will OpenAI provide API access to a frontier LLM with 100,000,000+ context length?

Aug 12, 11:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.02%chance

3192

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1020

981

Will Brett Smiley win the 2026 Democratic primary for Mayor of Providence?

Jun 2, 1:54 AMSep 12, 3:59 AM

50.6%chance

4131

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1012

988

When will Vikram provide the communication boxes?

Feb 4, 8:18 PMDec 31, 8:18 PM

52.44%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

952

Number of people employed at Providence health plan on August 31?

Jun 12, 5:22 AMSep 2, 6:59 AM

00

OptionProbability

Less than 1500

Less than 1000

Less than 500

More than 1499

25

25

25

25

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