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R2 News

When will DeepSeek release R2?

Jan 24, 9:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9626070

OptionProbability

Before December 2025

Before November 2025

Before October 2025

Before September 2025

Before August 2025

Before February 2025

Before March 2025

Before April 2025

Before May 2025

Before June 2025

Before July 2025

90

79

43

27

2

0

0

0

0

0

0

Which next-gen frontier LLMs will be released before GPT-5? (2025)

Jun 1, 10:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6822760

OptionProbability

Llama 4

Claude 4(any version)

Gemini 2

Grok 2

Claude 4 Opus

Phi 4

Gemini 2.5 Pro Deep Think

Gemini 3

DeepSeek-R2

DeepSeek Coder V3

Claude 5

Gemini 1.5 Ultra

100

100

100

100

100

100

97

18

17

14

5

1

When will Deepseek R2 be released?

Mar 25, 12:18 AMJun 30, 10:59 PM

3112725

Will DeepSeek R2 be open source?

Mar 8, 6:12 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

83.44%chance

272813

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2244

446

First model series to cross 1500 on lmarena.ai?

Jun 6, 2:22 AMJan 1, 3:11 AM

162502

OptionProbability

Gemini 3.0

GPT 5

Other

Gemini 2.5

o3

Claude 4.5

o4

Deepseek r2

Deepseek v4

Grok 4

ChatGPT 4o

Claude 4

Grok 3.5

Deepseek r1

Deepseek v3

GPT-4.1 or similar

Claude 4.1 or similar

Gemini 2.7 or similar

39

30

20

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

R2-D2 by 2030?

Apr 9, 11:09 AMJan 1, 6:01 AM

40.34%chance

312024

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1142

846

When DeepSeek drops r2, will the NASDAQ drop?

Mar 11, 1:06 PMSep 19, 3:59 AM

53.71%chance

381743

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1077

928

Other than ClaudePlaysPokemon, which AIs will have their own Twitch streams (>24 hrs) playing video games by EOY 2025?

Feb 27, 6:52 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

101131

OptionProbability

Claude 4

GPT 5

Kimi-K2

Deepseek R2

Grok 4

DeepSeek R1

Llama 4

Grok 3

Gemini 2 Flash Thinking

GPT 4.5

100

59

50

40

34

25

24

9

2

1

What will the phase 3 clinical trial results report for vaccine efficacy (%) of the R21 malaria vaccine at 48 months?

Mar 15, 9:29 PMSep 2, 6:59 AM

81002

OptionProbability

60-69%

70-79%

50-59%

40-49%

30-39%

20-29%

80-89%

27

20

17

14

11

10

1

What will the phase 3 clinical trial results report for vaccine efficacy (%) of the R21 malaria vaccine at 24 months?

Mar 15, 9:17 PMSep 2, 6:59 AM

7544

OptionProbability

60-69%

50-59%

70-79%

40-49%

30-39%

20-29%

80-89%

30

20

18

13

11

7

1

Will Rivian R2 deliveries begin before June 15, 2026?

Mar 8, 4:18 AMJul 1, 3:59 AM

41.39%chance

12298

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1066

892

Will the R21 malaria vaccine be distributed in 15 countries before July 1st, 2025?

Mar 15, 9:12 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

47.86%chance

661

OptionVotes

NO

YES

299

289

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