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Top stories

French Prime Minister François Bayrou Faces Vote of Confidence by September 8 Amid Opposition Criticism and Modem Support

French Prime Minister François Bayrou Faces Vote of Confidence by September 8 Amid Opposition Criticism and Modem Support

Authors

9

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Republic

Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?

Dec 16, 2:35 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

52.77%chance

103119381

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1057

946

Will Australia become a republic by 2030?

Oct 16, 1:26 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

16.51%chance

4412537

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1317

840

Will Ramzan Kadyrov remain the head of the Chechen Republic (Chechnya) by the end of 2025?

Apr 22, 8:34 PMDec 30, 8:59 PM

90.11%chance

347061

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1809

44

Will Iran get a nuclear weapon before the Islamic Republic falls?

Feb 1, 4:21 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

32%chance

283824

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1458

686

Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?

Jun 1, 6:33 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

51.27%chance

183718

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1026

975

By 2063, will the Republic of China annex any territory in the mainland?

Mar 29, 2:30 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

19%chance

211509

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1523

819

Will Xi Jinping serve as General Secretary of the CCP and the President of the People's Republic of China through 2027?

Nov 30, 12:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

69.79%chance

161306

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1019

928

Will any of the 21 republics of Russia secede from the Russian Federation before 2030

Jan 18, 5:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.28%chance

291229

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1185

922

Will Turkey and/or Northern Cyprus occupy the Republic of Cyprus before 2030?

Jan 2, 3:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.5%chance

91061

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1803

803

Will there be a french Sixth republic by 2040?

Aug 17, 4:53 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

28.88%chance

23689

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1038

868

Will New Zealand become a republic by 2030?

Sep 10, 12:41 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

16.51%chance

13545

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1208

922

Will New Zealand become a republic by 2100?

Aug 22, 10:06 PMDec 31, 12:00 PM

30.91%chance

12419

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1179

887

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