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Prediction markets for Salvador

Is at least one of the stories about an innocent person deported by the US to prison in El Salvador substantially true?

Mar 29, 8:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

98.61%chance

2318435

OptionVotes

NO

YES

8432

119

Will Trump accept El Salvador’s offer to house U.S. criminals?

Feb 4, 4:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

8.5%chance

1710933

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6480

815

Will the Trump administration deport a US citizen to El Salvador this year?

Mar 17, 2:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.56%chance

6710278

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3497

286

Will Bitcoin "Volcano Bonds" from El Salvador be issued by 2025?

Feb 2, 9:20 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

2.1%chance

198419

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7726

233

Will Nayib Bukele be the leader of El Salvador in 2030?

Jul 29, 1:05 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

67.14%chance

304222

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1509

542

Will another country follow El Salvador in adopting Bitcoin as legal tender by the end of 2025?

May 13, 3:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.82%chance

223260

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3004

294

Will Kilmar Abrego Garcia be deported to El Salvador before 2029?

Jun 7, 3:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.88%chance

121332

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1836

545

Will the next El Salvador presidential election be free and fair?

Apr 18, 8:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.7%chance

15616

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1403

713

Will a member of the Bukele family show up to Second Order: San Salvador?

Oct 31, 7:22 PMJan 11, 11:59 PM

52.35%chance

4355

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1048

954

Will a sitting US president visit El Salvador through 2029?

Aug 6, 3:58 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

35.29%chance

14231

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1049

968

Will El Salvador's murder rate be below 10 per 100,000 inhabitants in 2030?

Mar 18, 12:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.98%chance

6131

OptionVotes

NO

YES

157

65

Will a political group in El Salvador significant in the next 20 years be founded by inmates of the megaprison?

May 4, 2:16 AMJan 1, 3:16 AM

53.7%chance

555

OptionVotes

NO

YES

147

113

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