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Prediction markets for Salvador

Which World Leaders will be out in 2026?

Feb 20, 11:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

478647

OptionProbability

Viktor Orban (Hungary Prime Minister)

Gustavo Petro (Colombian President)

Pedro Sanchez (Spain Prime Minister)

Benjamin Netanyahu (Israel Prime Minister)

Christopher Luxon (New Zealand Prime Minister)

Emmanuel Macron (France President)

Volodymyr Zelenskyy (Ukraine Prime Minister)

Cyril Ramaphosa (South Africa Prime Minister)

Donald Trump (United States President)

Anthony Albanese (Australia Prime Minister)

Javier Milei (Argentina President)

Nayib Bukele (El Salvador President)

Vladimir Putin (Russia President)

100

97

70

48

39

10

7

7

6

5

4

4

2

Will Nayib Bukele be the leader of El Salvador in 2030?

Jul 29, 1:05 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

67.14%chance

304222

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1509

542

Will Kilmar Abrego Garcia be deported to El Salvador before 2029?

Jun 7, 3:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.88%chance

121332

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1836

545

Which of the following will be true by 2030? (Nayib Bukele Questions)

Oct 1, 10:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

5676

OptionProbability

Still president of El Salvador

Nearly Successful Assassination Attempt

Assassinated

Dead

60

53

20

20

Will the next El Salvador presidential election be free and fair?

Apr 18, 8:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.03%chance

15627

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1392

718

A US citizen moved and held in El Salvador against a court order for at least seven days during Trump's term?

Apr 16, 7:03 AMJan 19, 11:59 PM

18.63%chance

16553

OptionVotes

YES

NO

209

48

Will a sitting US president visit El Salvador through 2029?

Aug 6, 3:58 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

35.29%chance

14231

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1049

968

Will El Salvador's murder rate be below 10 per 100,000 inhabitants in 2030?

Mar 18, 12:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.98%chance

6131

OptionVotes

NO

YES

157

65

Will Bitcoin "Volcano Bonds" from El Salvador be issued by 2030?

Feb 21, 6:05 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

28.09%chance

360

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

62

Will a political group in El Salvador significant in the next 20 years be founded by inmates of the megaprison?

May 4, 2:16 AMJan 1, 3:16 AM

53.7%chance

555

OptionVotes

NO

YES

147

113

Would you rather vote for trump or Salvador Allende?

Apr 6, 5:17 PM

10

Were any of the Venezuelans recently deported from America to El Salvador's mega-prison innocent?

Mar 24, 12:17 AM

150

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