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Prediction markets for San

Which car company will drive between New York to San Francisco without anyone in the drivers seat first?

Sep 9, 12:44 PMSep 16, 10:59 PM

7757085

OptionProbability

Tesla

Waymo

Other

openpilot

General Motors

Cavendish Labs

None (does not happen by market close)

80

16

4

0

0

0

0

Mo Salah completes a transfer to San Diego FC before the end of 2026

Jan 6, 9:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.83%chance

1837402

OptionVotes

YES

NO

22230

4498

Will San Francisco experience a major earthquake before 2030?

Jun 6, 12:06 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

12.12%chance

3913330

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2697

372

San Francisco gets some kind of congestion zone pricing system by mid 2030

Jan 15, 9:41 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

34.32%chance

358546

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1383

723

Will San Francisco put a ‘Reopen the Great Highway / Close Sunset Dunes Park’ measure on a 2026 ballot?

Jan 8, 2:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.4%chance

267863

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11211

7458

Will GTA 6 Online allow players to travel between the states of Leonida and San Andreas?

Aug 4, 10:26 PMMay 27, 6:59 AM

3.25%chance

86613

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5458

183

Will the Zillow's Rentals Data indicate a decrease in San Francisco's median rent at the end of 2026?

Feb 1, 8:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.94%chance

141440

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1012

970

Will it be possible to take a train from Los Angeles to San Francisco in under 5 hours in 2040?

Sep 23, 4:53 AMJan 19, 5:54 AM

56.35%chance

21860

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1018

966

Will the population of San Francisco reach 950,000 before 2030?

Aug 22, 6:18 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

28.51%chance

6850

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1583

632

California HSR operational between San Francisco and LA before Mars landing?

Jun 18, 6:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.98%chance

8721

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1180

890

Will Tadej Pogacar start the 2027 Milan - San Remo race?

Mar 21, 7:23 PMMar 27, 11:59 PM

49.77%chance

9518

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1005

995

A new major league sports team comes to San Francisco by 2030

Jan 13, 1:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

15.08%chance

13248

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1120

962

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