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Top stories

Arbitrum Shifts to Zero-Knowledge Proofs via Succinct, Offchain Labs Deal

Arbitrum Shifts to Zero-Knowledge Proofs via Succinct, Offchain Labs Deal

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US Domestic Policy

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7 months ago

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US Domestic Policy

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Prediction markets for San Francisco

Which car company will drive between New York to San Francisco without anyone in the drivers seat first?

Sep 9, 12:44 PMSep 16, 10:59 PM

7757085

OptionProbability

Tesla

Waymo

Other

openpilot

General Motors

Cavendish Labs

None (does not happen by market close)

80

16

4

0

0

0

0

Will San Francisco experience a major earthquake before 2030?

Jun 6, 12:06 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

12.12%chance

3913330

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2697

372

San Francisco gets some kind of congestion zone pricing system by mid 2030

Jan 15, 9:41 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

36%chance

348496

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1333

750

Is the “It’s Sugar!” in San Francisco’s downtown a money laundering front for the Taliban?

Aug 29, 6:32 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.73%chance

232370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2562

856

“Will San Francisco put a ‘Reopen the Great Highway / Close Sunset Dunes Park’ measure on a 2026 ballot?

Jan 8, 2:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.35%chance

31871

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2851

890

Will the Zillow's Rentals Data indicate a decrease in San Francisco's median rent at the end of 2026?

Feb 1, 8:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.94%chance

141440

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1012

970

Will it be possible to take a train from Los Angeles to San Francisco in under 5 hours in 2040?

Sep 23, 4:53 AMJan 19, 5:54 AM

56.35%chance

21860

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1018

966

Will the population of San Francisco reach 950,000 before 2030?

Aug 22, 6:18 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

28.51%chance

6850

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1583

632

California HSR operational between San Francisco and LA before Mars landing?

Jun 18, 6:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.25%chance

7691

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1150

913

San Francisco's population exceeds San Jose's by mid 2028

Jan 13, 1:24 AMJun 2, 6:59 AM

10.11%chance

10430

OptionVotes

YES

NO

431

105

A new major league sports team comes to San Francisco by 2030

Jan 13, 1:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

15.08%chance

13248

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1120

962

Will the median home value in san francisco county be more than 2,000,000 USD in Q3 2029?

Jun 8, 5:53 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

53.77%chance

3180

OptionVotes

YES

NO

721

359

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