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Prediction markets for Saxony
Which German states will have Sarah Wagenknecht's BSW in their parliaments after their next elections?
Oct 23, 6:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
4110503
OptionProbability
100
100
100
99
28
8
6
5
5
4
3
3
2
0
0
0
OptionProbability
50
45
5
Saxony-Anhalt 2026: How many more votes will Ulrich Siegmund get for State Prime Minister, relative to AfD's seats?
Jun 18, 12:57 PMJun 18, 9:59 PM
131829
OptionProbability
32
22
9
8
8
8
7
5
OptionProbability
26
23
18
17
6
5
4
Will the next minister-president of Saxony-Anhalt be from AfD?
Sep 6, 8:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
61.37%chance
8997
OptionVotes
1260
793
OptionProbability
38
23
20
14
4
Will the AfD officially join any German state-level governing coalition by December 31, 2026?
Feb 9, 3:14 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
30%chance
21466
OptionVotes
153
65
If Saxony-Anhalt holds a snap election before 2028, will the AfD win an absolute majority?
Sep 8, 3:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
44.28%chance
6344
OptionVotes
1122
892
In which state will Germany decide to build a radioactive waste repository before 2069?
May 17, 6:18 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
10253
OptionProbability
40
29
8
4
3
3
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
Will Ulrich Siegmund become the Prime Minister of Saxony-Anhalt by the end of the year (2026)?
Sep 11, 7:22 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
66%chance
590
OptionVotes
139
72
If nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election?
Sep 7, 2:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
46.86%chance
378
OptionVotes
1065
939
Will the Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt elect a Ministerpraesident on or before 6 November 2026?
Sep 7, 12:09 PMNov 6, 10:59 PM
22%chance
12
OptionVotes
100
100